Fifa International · resolved market
Jordan vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45c895f4860852ea6144f757ddfef0ee58d53e7dc801be9ac08774d8dd9114a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Over | 33c | 5,199$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.33 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 70c | 3,389$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.56 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 74c | 1,759$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.34 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 56c | 1,110$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.82 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 29c | 739.91$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.98 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 34c | 724.57$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.02 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 25c | 632.79$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.48 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…f4c3backed Over | 39c | 518.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 74c | 400.52$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.87 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 70c | 346$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 52c | 188$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 70c | 178$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 70c | 178$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 27c | 169$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 71c | 158.8$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 28c | 151$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 29c | 122.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 76c | 93.3$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 72c | 77.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 71c | 73.95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 54c | 71.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Over | 27c | 71.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…9188backed Over | 59c | 65.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 32c | 42.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…a9ffbacked Over | 35c | 42.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 31c | 38.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 30c | 35.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…81b5backed Over | 57c | 35.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b5…1e7abacked Over | 37c | 29.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0297…e67fbacked Under | 72c | 27.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 71c | 24.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 57c | 23.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 71c | 20.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 75c | 16.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5this page
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Jordan (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Jordan (-2.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.