TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$966,657
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,030,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $966,657 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 637 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c121,160$47,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,704.444,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over61c87,547$53,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,831.012,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Under36c73,162$26,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,338.276634.8%23 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over54c40,000$21,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,40017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Over62c20,000$12,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,60020724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under33c19,298$6,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,286.911,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under28c19,180$5,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,376.0936235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under42c15,818$6,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,721.362,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ac…0118backed Under22c11,603$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,537.16175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick20cpaid-82.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under40c10,295$4,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,105.342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over68c10,041$6,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,246.058,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fee…7e03backed Over65c9,594$6,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,312.062642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+48.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under40c9,407$3,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,726.6766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over62c8,597$5,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,266.6770244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over64c8,455$5,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,062.611,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over64c8,202$5,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,952.721,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda22…61d0backed Over61c7,918$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,088.117945.6%36 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over57c7,763$4,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,338.0949441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over62c6,769$4,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,572.2437242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under7c6,197$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.1522933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Over64c6,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16010059%59 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under36c6,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.9674447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Over68c5,503$3,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.0625942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over66c5,469$3,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,850.1434964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Under50c5,404$2,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,722.259440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under36c5,377$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.631,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under37c5,354$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010849.1%53 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under11c5,071$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.7823857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Over64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.953557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e5…0947backed Over72c4,800$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35014953.7%80 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed Under52c4,588$2,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.2315642.9%67 W · 89 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over56c4,499$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.741,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under36c4,168$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.252,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over61c4,154$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.9653448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under37c4,094$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.811,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Under39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56026445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under36c3,820$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.2648441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed Under36c3,802$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.912241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under46c3,769$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.8839644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under11c3,646$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.513727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over78c3,632$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.282,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Over65c3,614$2,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.994250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under16c3,538$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.6341331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…4d6ebacked Over64c3,426$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.512544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under36c3,245$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.217748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Over64c3,200$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15214351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over66c3,106$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.8375335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Under19c3,048$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.218929.1%55 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9950243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Under35c3,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.9817636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9847144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under36c2,973$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.4447643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under36c2,932$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.5538526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b61…230ebacked Under37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015936.5%58 W · 101 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under35c2,691$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.931,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over65c2,659$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.982,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over63c2,624$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.341,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under51c2,540$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.7923046.5%107 W · 123 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over63c2,522$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.042,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36ab…d5a7backed Under2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504928.6%14 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under34c2,487$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.3885550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over77c2,484$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.7563544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over66c2,459$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.92,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked Under49c2,403$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.582254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under36c2,400$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86444144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over62c2,168$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.9737944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Over69c2,093$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.3638819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Under48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under38c2,039$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7758348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over65c2,031$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.7733544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over77c2,022$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.134,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d3…804bbacked Under17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3409033.3%30 W · 60 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28024626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2274…7840backed Over63c1,946$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.116155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under31c1,879$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.92,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under5c1,875$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5122029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over62c1,832$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.1684751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over62c1,832$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.1625848.4%125 W · 133 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Under17c1,765$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013223.5%31 W · 101 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over67c1,747$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.233,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b8…b908backed Under36c1,709$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.245156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+40.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over52c1,703$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.631,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over70c1,604$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.0735658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Over65c1,540$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5398752.9%46 W · 41 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb500…1cdebacked Over65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.4617453.4%93 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed Over65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52511246.4%52 W · 60 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under17c1,451$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.4844130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…e556backed Under35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over66c1,407$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.3865737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under37c1,407$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.5319744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Over64c1,382$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.5223240.5%94 W · 138 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under26c1,376$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.7974034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8771638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over64c1,349$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.481,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over54c1,328$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.531,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under34c1,300$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44813548.9%66 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over71c1,239$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.912,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.