TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$223,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$245,820

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,096 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under28c74,449$21,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,019.194,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over72c26,370$19,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,318.1129740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over73c20,911$15,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,667.1721333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over74c11,259$8,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,960.442,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Over72c10,600$7,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,918.9725844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under36c9,936$3,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5771,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Over74c9,627$7,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.9516357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under36c7,635$2,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,735.1828229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under33c7,383$2,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,430.9341331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over67c7,025$4,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.4866846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over66c6,617$4,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.2235244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under28c6,271$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.272,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under41c5,924$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.9537242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over73c4,976$3,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.022,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over71c4,072$2,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.798,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under30c3,551$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.853,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under27c3,177$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.911,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under27c3,151$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.752,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over67c2,964$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.5544539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under23c2,637$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9934731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Over77c2,582$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.4815929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fee…7e03backed Over58c2,329$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.212642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+48.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over74c2,154$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.5125125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.763,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Over73c1,883$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51421044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over78c1,839$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.7359453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Under36c1,673$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.133438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over63c1,600$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59222153.4%118 W · 103 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under24c1,521$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.642,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under27c1,446$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.391,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over72c1,372$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.1114433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over68c1,268$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.922,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under28c1,250$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.483,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under2c1,150$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1946012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under37c1,081$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40079149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under37c1,068$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.4225049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x735c…55edbacked Under29c1,015$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.49835.7%35 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x285a…3326backed Over65c886.46$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.267852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under27c863.01$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.6125942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Under36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021227.8%59 W · 153 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under24c811.98$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3326647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over70c689.66$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.6419218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over71c638.16$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.012,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6727…231dbacked Over73c573$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.715259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Under4c527.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6119944.7%89 W · 110 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under38c526.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Over74c506.76$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.767950.6%40 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over60c489.06$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8624533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5436539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3f…b7c9backed Under29c451.72$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1315328.3%15 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under36c416.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15045548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8970…f311backed Over73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.964944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under25c400$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1927931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb323…b4c3backed Over64c379.99$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.84348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under27c376.74$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.861,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed Over73c355.5$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.986055%33 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under36c330.86$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1129556.6%167 W · 128 L+19.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over71c316.64$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.562,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under26c304.9$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7714238.7%55 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Under36c304.65$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9916641%68 W · 98 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over67c300.59$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.971,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over65c293.03$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5622932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under28c275$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777761%47 W · 30 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Over73c272.49$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4933245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Under36c270$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.241551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcaea…5795backed Under30c266.74$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.686648.5%32 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under27c259.65$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.821,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Over79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1628251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f8…9ff4backed Under29c250.77$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.952161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over76c250$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under25c235$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7570244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Over73c219.94$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9436543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under34c201$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.341,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x436d…dadebacked Over63c199.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7417460.3%105 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under36c198.72$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5412653.2%67 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under29c196.84$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.611,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over72c194.06$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0638155.4%211 W · 170 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Over59c173$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.935930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Under34c171.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2812528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over60c167$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.810841.7%45 W · 63 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under27c164.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.692,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over75c162.96$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.33,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under29c156.34$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0913247%62 W · 70 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Over66c156.25$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.139323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6863…300bbacked Over66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519045.6%41 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under27c147$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4188852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Under36c138$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.687142.3%30 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under33c137$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.762,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ec5…257ebacked Over73c137$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over66c136.3$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3435658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Under37c132.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0219754.3%107 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65a0…2a86backed Over78c130.77$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.778274.4%61 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under22c128.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.212,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd36…2c00backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2111549.6%57 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over69c127.02$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.131,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under36c118.06$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.530547.2%144 W · 161 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under35c116.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1837650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031853.1%169 W · 149 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.