TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,751
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,751 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c4,331$1,415 inLost-$1,414.994,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over68c3,015$2,050 inWon+$965.128337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over68c1,440$982 inWon+$457.78,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed Under35c861.98$300 inLost-$3005925.4%15 W · 44 L-7.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under33c507.08$167 inLost-$167.3448937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Over68c479$325 inWon+$153.5316946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under32c469.29$150 inLost-$150.1786452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Over67c410.1$275 inWon+$135.333571.4%25 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under32c401.27$128 inLost-$128.412,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under30c361.69$110 inLost-$109.934,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over67c300$202 inWon+$981,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under27c294.26$79 inLost-$79.452937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over67c200$134 inWon+$6616656.6%94 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62bc…5053backed Over67c200$134 inWon+$6620149.3%99 W · 102 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over65c192$125 inWon+$67.22,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over65c192$125 inWon+$67.22,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Under33c149.99$49 inLost-$49.528822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over69c118.59$81 inWon+$37.23,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over75c109.46$82 inWon+$27.469168.1%62 W · 29 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Over61c105.38$65 inWon+$40.5945536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dc4…2603backed Over70c70.44$49 inWon+$21.443043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x33f6…955ebacked Over73c68.49$50 inWon+$18.492236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under32c59.25$19 inLost-$18.863,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0392…ab02backed Over75c53.33$40 inWon+$13.3320354.7%111 W · 92 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under32c51.86$17 inLost-$16.73,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Over68c48.53$33 inWon+$15.5316344.2%72 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over65c48$31 inWon+$16.83,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc21d…727ebacked Over68c44.12$30 inWon+$14.1210952.3%57 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under37c42.89$16 inLost-$15.871,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5191…06f2backed Over63c42.89$27 inWon+$15.876053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under30c41.39$12 inLost-$12.392,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c6b…f60fbacked Over67c41.3$28 inWon+$13.632281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick65cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over67c38.1$26 inWon+$12.5715751%80 W · 77 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over62c33.98$21 inWon+$12.8520968.4%143 W · 66 L+21.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over69c32$22 inWon+$9.831,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e63…3220backed Over68c29.41$20 inWon+$9.412458.3%14 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ab…c326backed Over68c29.41$20 inWon+$9.4113149.6%65 W · 66 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Over70c28.57$20 inWon+$8.5746243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc7…23f9backed Over69c20$14 inWon+$6.23756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c34…266dbacked Over73c20$15 inWon+$5.425655.1%141 W · 115 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.