Fifa International · resolved market
Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75398a0ed318eea5bde5c3ec3fa037be25a43c6fd59eaf88e3bc95ba56e93939
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 78c | 907.94$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.6 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 19c | 627.19$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.06 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed No | 80c | 583.75$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…c91fbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 20c | 271.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.25 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 21c | 216$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.64 | 345 | 51.9%179 W · 166 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 19c | 207.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.16 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 73c | 175.4$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.78 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 20c | 173.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.82 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 18c | 163$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.04 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Yes | 21c | 141$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.39 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 19c | 115.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.34 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 75c | 107.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x436d…dadebacked Yes | 79c | 99.97$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 27c | 87.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed No | 29c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 80c | 62.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 18c | 56.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 79c | 56.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 22c | 55.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 70c | 55.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c4…78ddbacked No | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 62c | 47.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 67c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 74c | 32.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfthis page
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Jordan (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Jordan (-2.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.