Fifa International · resolved market
Jordan vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11f588fe6f4451f363a549bf52e6e79b363b664e8e4fc11355b24bd703c25829
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Under | 49c | 16,327$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 51c | 14,575$7,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,141.75 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Over | 58c | 6,939$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.25 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked Under | 43c | 5,642$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.04 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 23c | 4,204$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.92 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 65c | 2,673$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.34 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 77c | 1,306$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.73 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Under | 21c | 1,245$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.48 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 58c | 1,122$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.51 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 22c | 703.51$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 65c | 671.55$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.04 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…3ca0backed Over | 57c | 536.31$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.31 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 61c | 490.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.39 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 54c | 418.23$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.39 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 44c | 417.19$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.38 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 48c | 408.04$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.86 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 44c | 250.72$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 29c | 207.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 44c | 169.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked Under | 34c | 147.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d5…46ebbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 41c | 79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 60.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75af…3f8dbacked Over | 54c | 60.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 270 | 51.9%140 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 47c | 44.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 44.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…922bbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 78c | 37.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 37c | 31.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 44c | 30.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Over | 60c | 30.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…e294backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 301 | 48.2%145 W · 156 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 48c | 23.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 249 | 47.4%118 W · 131 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 53c | 23.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…b39abacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Jordan (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Jordan (-2.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.