TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,020,660
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,087,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,020,660 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc1da…fefabacked Over41c370,000$153,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216,799.734143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c102,750$61,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,861.264,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Under5c45,165$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,052.419742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over37c37,671$13,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,732.5621343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked Under61c35,452$21,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,652.038856.8%50 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Under61c32,580$19,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,824.175054%27 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under60c28,008$16,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,908.610556.2%59 W · 46 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under59c25,400$14,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,9863141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under63c25,000$15,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,749.9913738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under61c22,915$13,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,90010849.1%53 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under63c22,180$14,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,003.623949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under58c18,171$10,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,621.519647.9%46 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under0c18,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1882537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over60c17,019$10,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,761.8232656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over36c15,498$5,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,918.4336250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over36c14,738$5,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,364.7929740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Under59c14,177$8,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,320.6711552.2%60 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under59c13,747$8,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,083.799948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over66c13,375$8,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,561.8914542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under59c13,256$7,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8408251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Under60c13,166$7,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,926.0710851.9%56 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b7…4108backed Under56c12,000$6,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7203762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under64c12,000$7,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,68029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under62c12,000$7,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,439.9412255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Under60c11,232$6,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,710.156842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Under58c11,000$6,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3706749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26db…ba92backed Under59c11,000$6,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,539.984055%22 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over74c10,120$7,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,645.8424533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9009650%48 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc522…7f28backed Under59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9004856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fee…7e03backed Over28c10,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,2002642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+48.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under33c9,461$3,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,116.5728229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over37c9,379$3,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,908.6674447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over78c9,345$7,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.841331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under29c8,890$2,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.412,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under58c8,500$4,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,904.453,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over36c7,374$2,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,719.5270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under63c7,000$4,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,428.5913746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over44c6,554$2,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,688.812,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under57c6,081$3,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4668348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,05077845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under65c4,964$3,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,226.611558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over41c4,534$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,669.871,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under22c4,528$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.022,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over37c4,401$1,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,760.72,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under18c4,363$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.351,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over32c4,280$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,925.993,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under50c4,171$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.0736235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,36036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8808052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under64c4,000$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,559.9829250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Over64c3,602$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.6625753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under59c2,944$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.9626454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under23c2,625$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.722,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under59c2,592$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.2818850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Over37c2,585$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.1625844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under13c2,564$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.5322029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under63c2,540$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60020262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over61c2,294$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.0334731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under62c2,283$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.0210142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.7315034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under59c2,238$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.171,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under19c2,235$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.411,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over36c2,136$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.3121333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under61c2,126$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.8766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under17c2,078$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.091,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over36c2,073$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.872,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over36c1,973$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.647140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Over36c1,967$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.6713261.4%81 W · 51 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over60c1,879$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.3134533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under16c1,798$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.0173536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Over36c1,795$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.6921044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over54c1,735$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.7627032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf003…08cdbacked Under63c1,716$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.222060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under61c1,716$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.1459752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8762…0d85backed Under58c1,700$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9874052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under56c1,682$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.6961750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over58c1,668$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.7637242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over65c1,621$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.9825125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under59c1,600$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94437850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c1,591$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.968,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed Under63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005925.4%15 W · 44 L-7.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Under68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Over55c1,454$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.5215929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under59c1,400$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82638351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under62c1,386$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.4786452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under36c1,345$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.2428251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over36c1,328$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.782,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.7937223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Over38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.7931435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Over53c1,283$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.5717534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under28c1,266$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.142,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under60c1,226$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.143,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over36c1,222$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.0833149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under59c1,200$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70835251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6727…231dbacked Over37c1,115$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.165259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over63c1,102$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.3819218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under24c1,099$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.6526647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under9c1,080$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under62c1,063$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.1944539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.