TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$484,362

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,362 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 366 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes20c53,193$10,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,886.617750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c47,849$35,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,085.792,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No80c46,171$36,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,258.376,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No74c40,000$29,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,399.9516651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes25c29,242$7,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,454.0951750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No72c25,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,00011149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes26c21,320$5,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,543.25356.6%30 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Yes28c20,853$5,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,838.73246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25f1…9d5ebacked Yes26c20,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.991421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5aa…35b2backed Yes0c14,333$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No74c12,500$9,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,25035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No74c12,395$9,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,222.721253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No74c12,000$8,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes27c11,361$3,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,014.6415534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c9,077$2,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.511,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes27c9,061$2,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,441.5730143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No72c7,841$5,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.39350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c7,224$5,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.071,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No75c7,000$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7509272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No74c6,757$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.755655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No74c6,632$4,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,752.5656453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No80c6,363$5,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.424,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes26c6,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5605442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes26c5,769$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Yes27c5,422$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.923171%22 W · 9 L+7.7wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+53.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes0c5,149$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.37138%27 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Yes26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3005042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Yes26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3006248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ea8…ddc0backed Yes26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3002646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30011942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3002138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No75c5,000$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.9838649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c4,979$3,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4141,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c4,535$3,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.922,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes27c4,197$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.2115748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0457…4403backed Yes26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-60.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013944.6%62 W · 77 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Yes21c3,503$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.06728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes8c3,452$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.024533.3%15 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+110.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No74c3,378$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.386354%34 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed No71c3,225$2,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.344748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7505942.4%25 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes26c2,955$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.3615944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No73c2,926$2,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.081,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No74c2,500$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65072249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes25c2,428$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.7619735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes27c2,222$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9424146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Yes21c2,062$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.69837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No74c2,027$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.029153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes26c2,003$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.934428.8%99 W · 245 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5408343.4%36 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed No73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.992951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No73c1,949$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.1652454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c1,940$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.032,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes27c1,752$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.0410838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed Yes29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.675228.8%15 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes27c1,666$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes27c1,490$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.399042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked No74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.354755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d8c…bec4backed Yes29c1,255$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.951216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes26c1,200$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31023531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Yes20c1,010$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes28c1,001$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.2822534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74b3…490ebacked Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2507268.1%49 W · 23 L+13.8wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+42%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26013727%37 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed No73c999.99$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4c8bbacked No73c999.97$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Yes25c990.23$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.562475%18 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+63.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes27c943$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.468942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Yes27c937.04$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick23cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d8b…c132backed Yes27c925.93$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.38per pick51cpaid-68.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x846d…31e3backed Yes27c888.89$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4920…2b87backed No72c850$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.65875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20036956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed Yes20c752.7$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.271838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48aa…2eeebacked Yes21c695.85$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed Yes20c682.82$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes29c661$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6510233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03e6…24e6backed Yes20c656.03$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.13425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99a6…9aafbacked Yes28c650$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes16c643.32$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7923325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes23c632.52$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9810726.2%28 W · 79 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes26c626$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.766150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No74c625$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.575850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes29c510.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503243.8%14 W · 18 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-30.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes25c505.05$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2611232.1%36 W · 76 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b7…53a5backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…4638backed Yes20c482.92$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d1…c8cebacked Yes27c471.33$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.261643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+76.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No74c454.31$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3223250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No74c435$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.129458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Yes28c428.36$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.941323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27fe…95e3backed Yes29c413.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe06a…ad57backed Yes29c412.48$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.54475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46b2…a5f1backed Yes22c403.08$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.