TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$448,231

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $448,231 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed No73c97,782$71,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,212.6210057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes27c30,926$8,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,497.7851750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c30,685$8,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,280.42,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c25,287$18,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,898.982,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No73c22,583$16,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,097.521770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes27c13,588$3,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,668.75356.6%30 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes27c12,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2405442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8008939.3%35 W · 54 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Yes28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8006650%33 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes26c9,988$2,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,589.586,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes27c7,935$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,152.941,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes27c6,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60019735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c4,922$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.11,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cc4…803dbacked Yes29c4,328$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes27c3,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8112949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes26c3,224$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.1718259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76bc…db0abacked Yes29c2,838$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8231050%5 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+119.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No61c2,770$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.887176.1%54 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes25c2,668$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6621827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe427…c02bbacked Yes28c2,418$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6771040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Yes27c2,022$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes13c1,883$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes28c1,614$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4521915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes21c1,566$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.352,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes28c1,471$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.862420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No70c1,430$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4292875%21 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes29c1,424$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41329238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes28c1,367$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.767750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c1,364$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.691,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes29c1,300$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37710838.9%42 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes29c1,214$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3526437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes28c1,213$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.5825544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d8c…bec4backed Yes30c1,167$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes33c1,118$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.893151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes13c1,034$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2126319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes18c913.33$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.545623.2%13 W · 43 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-56%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes28c801$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.2810626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No73c745$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.1572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…c249backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes26c623.56$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010726.2%28 W · 79 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes27c600$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16223258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes33c558.34$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.222335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No80c506.52$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.081,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes27c505.05$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3611232.1%36 W · 76 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No77c475.02$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3996645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No77c430$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.428736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes29c425$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2510233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes27c409$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4321253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Yes27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083650%18 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed9d…444abacked Yes28c357.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.221136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes29c351.93$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0616233.3%54 W · 108 L-14.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x529f…ffd4backed Yes18c339.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602821.4%6 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Yes29c330.62$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.886344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes23c318.79$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7245224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8730050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Yes17c294.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes28c291.09$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9353344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes28c259.05$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5339948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes10c249.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25224.5%1 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick16cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Yes27c244.44$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015553.5%83 W · 72 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb67c…4532backed Yes29c231.03$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes22c227$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.164057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes28c220.88$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7517337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes28c207$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1628246.1%130 W · 152 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5823353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed No72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563125.8%8 W · 23 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-45.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9342…4d78backed No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5417048.8%83 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x983c…ee3dbacked Yes16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Yes27c173$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.714131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011223.2%26 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f48…b9abbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-45.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes28c154$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.221,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1002…1ef5backed Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes31c133.27$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.861,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes34c132.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455433.3%18 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x289b…714ebacked Yes29c131.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.261353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48ad…1142backed Yes29c129.55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked No71c124.75$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.053953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc85e…5d37backed Yes28c124.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0fc…b09fbacked No78c120$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes15c120$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185111.8%6 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-67%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes31c112.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes24c110$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2632222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes28c109.79$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7432453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe2…e1eebacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3511…17c3backed Yes38c102.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2625052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3259645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.