Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff34a3c10375b863a0bd1cdb4f0ed30beb73912162d86e707058ae9c4662c129
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $236,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 31,432$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.44 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked No | 79c | 9,325$7,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.74 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 9c | 8,887$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.52 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 8,808$6,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.13 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 9c | 8,611$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked Yes | 10c | 7,170$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Yes | 42c | 6,901$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.01 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Yes | 8c | 6,166$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…f79dbacked Yes | 17c | 5,882$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 9c | 4,940$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.66 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…b750backed Yes | 10c | 4,868$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.76 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 10c | 3,200$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 37c | 2,511$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.72 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aec…2b9ebacked Yes | 42c | 2,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 9c | 2,365$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.84 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,333$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 18c | 2,170$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe04b…3ec7backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Yes | 41c | 2,000$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.04 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…3516backed Yes | 15c | 1,846$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.9 | 224 | 41.5%93 W · 131 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 32c | 1,800$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.42 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…2ff1backed Yes | 23c | 1,627$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.27 | 120 | 15.8%19 W · 101 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc57a…1420backed Yes | 14c | 1,465$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 31c | 1,455$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.12 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 21c | 1,433$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.71 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,388$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.99 | 174 | 42%73 W · 101 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,350$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…f71dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,314$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 168 | 27.4%46 W · 122 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,300$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.06 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…8de4backed Yes | 4c | 1,300$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 200 | 13.5%27 W · 173 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2f…4d6fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,245$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 126 | 15.1%19 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,207$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.19 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 29c | 1,121$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.02 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 8c | 1,097$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…86b1backed Yes | 42c | 1,053$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.92 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 79c | 1,004$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.57 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…bc33backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 26.5%60 W · 166 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…0bc2backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e08…b249backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7114…337abacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…dc69backed Yes | 9c | 950.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.53 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 68c | 938.33$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.43 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…14c0backed Yes | 8c | 910.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…3d44backed Yes | 5c | 900$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 138 | 13%18 W · 120 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…5b38backed Yes | 24c | 825$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…0078backed Yes | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 116 | 19.8%23 W · 93 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 21c | 741.03$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.14 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Yes | 10c | 672.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 10c | 658.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 9c | 650$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…5943backed No | 75c | 640$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f59…0be6backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2861…656dbacked Yes | 17c | 579.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…dff7backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Yes | 10c | 513.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 72c | 511.7$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.76 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323a…876fbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…ef80backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 41.4%48 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…afc9backed Yes | 9c | 499$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 492.34$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdff…24ddbacked Yes | 17c | 441.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 21.9%49 W · 175 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fe…1471backed Yes | 9c | 388.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 148 | 18.9%28 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 9c | 366.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…8a93backed Yes | 27c | 360.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.28 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…2767backed Yes | 9c | 323.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bd…3ecfbacked Yes | 11c | 318.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 162 | 30.2%49 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…904cbacked Yes | 20c | 316.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc1…0646backed No | 80c | 315.6$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d2…9675backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 225 | 18.2%41 W · 184 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e9…a5bfbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…e179backed Yes | 40c | 294.38$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58f…26f9backed Yes | 12c | 275$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 9c | 267$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes | 9c | 255.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd69…f53abacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…6cd6backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e2…d8f6backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 27.3%24 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed No | 68c | 246$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…9d65backed Yes | 10c | 225$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 110 | 12.7%14 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed Yes | 9c | 222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 76 | 17.1%13 W · 63 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…35f8backed Yes | 9c | 221.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…9762backed Yes | 6c | 220$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…f98bbacked Yes | 34c | 203.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…0371backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…16b9backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…2e6dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99c…2efdbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 12.4%19 W · 134 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…2106backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…00eabacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…e42abacked No | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?Yes won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 3 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 1 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 2 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 3 Germany?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.