TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$236,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$234,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,532 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes15c31,432$4,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,844.448,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked No79c9,325$7,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.7439644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes9c8,887$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.521,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No76c8,808$6,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150.134,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes9c8,611$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8106729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked Yes10c7,170$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71713554.8%74 W · 61 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Yes42c6,901$2,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,895.0130054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed Yes8c6,166$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014430.6%44 W · 100 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Yes17c5,882$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes9c4,940$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.662,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd8c…b750backed Yes10c4,868$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.768010%8 W · 72 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid+43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes10c3,200$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32036024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes37c2,511$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.724,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aec…2b9ebacked Yes42c2,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006532.3%21 W · 44 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes9c2,365$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.847412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes9c2,333$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes18c2,170$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe04b…3ec7backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002711.1%3 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick15cpaid+5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Yes41c2,000$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.044153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+32.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes12c2,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Yes15c1,846$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.922441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes32c1,800$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.421,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x092f…2ff1backed Yes23c1,627$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.2712015.8%19 W · 101 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc57a…1420backed Yes14c1,465$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes31c1,455$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.1251429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes21c1,433$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.7162633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes10c1,400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14040515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Yes40c1,388$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.9917442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Yes9c1,350$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.511216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bfc…f71dbacked Yes15c1,314$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016827.4%46 W · 122 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes26c1,300$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.067238.9%28 W · 44 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Yes4c1,300$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4720013.5%27 W · 173 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2f…4d6fbacked Yes12c1,245$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14812615.1%19 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes16c1,207$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1911421.1%24 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes29c1,121$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.0273536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yes8c1,097$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7213847.1%65 W · 73 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17e6…86b1backed Yes42c1,053$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.9211044.5%49 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No79c1,004$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.5722634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100345.9%2 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022626.5%60 W · 166 L+0.9wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb2…0bc2backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012949.6%64 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e08…b249backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7114…337abacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003212.5%4 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a92…dc69backed Yes9c950.35$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.538032.5%26 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No68c938.33$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.432,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b4…14c0backed Yes8c910.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8410133.7%34 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Yes5c900$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4513813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Yes24c825$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69e3…0078backed Yes10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011619.8%23 W · 93 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes21c741.03$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.142,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Yes10c672.91$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0534731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes10c658.13$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8127520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes9c650$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.535110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf61a…5943backed No75c640$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f59…0be6backed Yes10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.162330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2861…656dbacked Yes17c579.76$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a6…dff7backed Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009136.3%33 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Yes10c513.87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.397865.4%51 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No72c511.7$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7637237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x323a…876fbacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012035%42 W · 78 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010720.6%22 W · 85 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017518.3%32 W · 143 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26cb…afc9backed Yes9c499$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.913225%8 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c492.34$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1283,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdff…24ddbacked Yes17c441.18$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5fe…1471backed Yes9c388.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514818.9%28 W · 120 L-0.4wins0.00per pick19cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes9c366.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336833.8%23 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8df…8a93backed Yes27c360.3$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.28137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6592…2767backed Yes9c323.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013718.2%25 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70bd…3ecfbacked Yes11c318.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516230.2%49 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2d…904cbacked Yes20c316.69$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625841.4%24 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dc1…0646backed No80c315.6$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.43955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62d2…9675backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022518.2%41 W · 184 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e9…a5bfbacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8772…e179backed Yes40c294.38$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1187244.4%32 W · 40 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf58f…26f9backed Yes12c275$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes9c267$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.031,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes9c255.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330215.2%46 W · 256 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025115.5%39 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd69…f53abacked Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25667.6%5 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1156…6cd6backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96e2…d8f6backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258827.3%24 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed No68c246$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1422560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc158…9d65backed Yes10c225$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.511012.7%14 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed Yes9c222$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.987617.1%13 W · 63 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c0e…35f8backed Yes9c221.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.983417.6%6 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83fe…9762backed Yes6c220$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x985d…f98bbacked Yes34c203.92$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1111135.1%39 W · 72 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bdb…0371backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209017.8%16 W · 74 L-0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0020…16b9backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526636.4%24 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8447321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2033915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b75…2e6dbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208727.6%24 W · 63 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd99c…2efdbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015312.4%19 W · 134 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x868b…2106backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020626.2%54 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…00eabacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011643.1%50 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945e…e42abacked No71c199.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586642.4%28 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.