Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Germany?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aa55081fe77f50d269e02e80eb44b53f9b5e21e281732fbbecdd9b9d38a6cd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $291,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 42,493$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,148.08 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 7c | 21,730$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.1 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 11c | 17,523$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.08 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 7c | 12,559$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.13 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…79fbbacked Yes | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…a57bbacked Yes | 6c | 9,066$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.93 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…6c3dbacked Yes | 10c | 8,888$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.75 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 7c | 7,686$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.94 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 6c | 6,667$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.37 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 6,197$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.04 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 7c | 5,714$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Yes | 6c | 5,449$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.96 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Yes | 6c | 4,135$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.1 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 7c | 2,753$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.69 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,750$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…8b76backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 120 | 15%18 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…46c6backed Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…3463backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,643$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 99 | 7.1%7 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,606$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.71 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc36c…b39dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5823…8782backed Yes | 7c | 1,376$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 82 | 6.1%5 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 11c | 1,363$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2658…fb0ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4830…f86bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,129$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…4fe3backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…ab91backed Yes | 12c | 916.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…c62cbacked Yes | 11c | 895.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 30.1%62 W · 144 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 7c | 850$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ff…f2bebacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 29.7%71 W · 168 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 23.4%34 W · 111 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 6c | 750$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…f46dbacked Yes | 11c | 733.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 8cpaid | +172.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…d362backed Yes | 6c | 725$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…0381backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…5460backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 9.5%8 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 4c | 656.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…4540backed Yes | 7c | 642.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…f46ebacked Yes | 7c | 556.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 121 | 24%29 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 7c | 550.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 9c | 548.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 226 | 34.1%77 W · 149 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…9404backed Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 157 | 19.1%30 W · 127 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 8c | 524.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…124bbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5f…6128backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 7.9%5 W · 58 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb5…4ba6backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…48a6backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2305…04f2backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 12c | 489.89$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7540backed Yes | 7c | 471.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…087fbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 23.3%21 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…afc7backed Yes | 7c | 452.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eef…3aefbacked Yes | 7c | 442.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…e8e6backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…630dbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 22.2%28 W · 98 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…af2cbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 27.2%49 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…ff1ebacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…63efbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 17.3%17 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…f631backed Yes | 7c | 422.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 10c | 417.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…8b2ebacked Yes | 7c | 380.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 12c | 353.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 7c | 351.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e8…3579backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 11c | 317.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 7c | 314.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad16…56d0backed Yes | 8c | 310.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c75…452abacked Yes | 11c | 305.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…ee0fbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 177 | 23.7%42 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 11c | 296.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…6cebbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 17.1%26 W · 126 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…acaabacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfb…ad35backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2f…4d6fbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 15.1%19 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…23a0backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…755bbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe888…74fdbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 271 | 28.4%77 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…e7fbbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…ce04backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 10.4%11 W · 95 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaaa…f79cbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 8c | 281.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…8a93backed Yes | 11c | 255.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 269 | 46.8%126 W · 143 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5756…5249backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a4…8f9abacked Yes | 7c | 242.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655a…5024backed Yes | 12c | 233.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 7c | 220$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5e…aa21backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Germany?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 3 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?Yes won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 2 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 3 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 1 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 2 Germany?No won
- Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 3 Germany?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.