TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Germany?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$297,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$291,716

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,726 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c42,493$3,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,148.088,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes7c21,730$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.12,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes11c17,523$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.082,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes7c12,559$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.132,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e35…79fbbacked Yes6c10,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600140%0 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7685…a57bbacked Yes6c9,066$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.9370%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39f9…6c3dbacked Yes10c8,888$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.752330.4%7 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes7c7,686$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.941,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes6c6,667$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.3740515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes10c6,197$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.044,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes7c5,714$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Yes6c5,449$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.967331.5%23 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Yes6c4,135$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.127227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes7c2,753$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6929017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes7c2,750$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.522813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8608…8b76backed Yes6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012015%18 W · 102 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a26…46c6backed Yes11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02a6…3463backed Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011723.1%27 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes7c1,643$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110997.1%7 W · 92 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes11c1,606$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.711,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc36c…b39dbacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100419.8%4 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-70.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5823…8782backed Yes7c1,376$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.34826.1%5 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes11c1,363$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9187237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2658…fb0ebacked Yes6c1,333$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4830…f86bbacked Yes9c1,300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1176113.1%8 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes7c1,143$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes7c1,129$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7938817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8027…4fe3backed Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec70…ab91backed Yes12c916.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…c62cbacked Yes11c895.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020630.1%62 W · 144 L+0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes7c850$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.535110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ff…f2bebacked Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023929.7%71 W · 168 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014523.4%34 W · 111 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes6c750$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4535229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f96…f46dbacked Yes11c733.28$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.623917.9%7 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick8cpaid+172.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b9e…d362backed Yes6c725$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.511436.8%42 W · 72 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd2…0381backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010819.4%21 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8733…5460backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50849.5%8 W · 76 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes4c656.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.851,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf81c…4540backed Yes7c642.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4053514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae0…f46ebacked Yes7c556.86$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9812124%29 W · 92 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes7c550.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.272,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes9c548.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5522634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x935d…9404backed Yes11c545.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015719.1%30 W · 127 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Yes8c524.83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4225115.5%39 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf903…124bbacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5f…6128backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50637.9%5 W · 58 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdeb5…4ba6backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8081…48a6backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2305…04f2backed Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554415.9%7 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes12c489.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.882,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d69…7540backed Yes7c471.43$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3315226.3%40 W · 112 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae7…087fbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509023.3%21 W · 69 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bea…afc7backed Yes7c452.71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.69540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eef…3aefbacked Yes7c442.86$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317962%49 W · 30 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x831a…e8e6backed Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309036.7%33 W · 57 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8933…630dbacked Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012622.2%28 W · 98 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae94…af2cbacked Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018027.2%49 W · 131 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a6…ff1ebacked Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43a8…63efbacked Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309817.3%17 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick17cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a93…f631backed Yes7c422.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5740%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes10c417.09$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.422,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x542b…8b2ebacked Yes7c380.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.641637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Yes7c357.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254916.3%8 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes12c353.01$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.362,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes7c351.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6235612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31e8…3579backed Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes11c317.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.892,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes7c314.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0344524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad16…56d0backed Yes8c310.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c75…452abacked Yes11c305.45$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.63514.3%5 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…ee0fbacked Yes7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2117723.7%42 W · 135 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes11c296.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.673536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0448…6cebbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015217.1%26 W · 126 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa03b…acaabacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203810.5%4 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick11cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027327.5%75 W · 198 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfb…ad35backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037320.9%78 W · 295 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2f…4d6fbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012615.1%19 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7525…23a0backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…755bbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016019.4%31 W · 129 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe888…74fdbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027128.4%77 W · 194 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0367…e7fbbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207319.2%14 W · 59 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b53…ce04backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010610.4%11 W · 95 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-44.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaaa…f79cbacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick15cpaid-77.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes8c281.9$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0492732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8df…8a93backed Yes11c255.36$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.09137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1526946.8%126 W · 143 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5756…5249backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-49.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09a4…8f9abacked Yes7c242.86$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x655a…5024backed Yes12c233.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-48%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Yes7c220$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.425510.6%27 W · 228 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5e…aa21backed Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.