Venezuela · resolved market
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfaaf716c433747ae71bae5e78dfd4fdd0250d9cc348302376ae5baad52ca647
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $982,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $933,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $982,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 72,474$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.44 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c2…db08backed No | 1c | 43,552$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…de2fbacked No | 2c | 28,025$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b3…af09backed No | 3c | 27,128$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a4…af6bbacked No | 1c | 26,984$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 24c | 13,010$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,139.27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2198…ac01backed No | 2c | 12,966$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…6a54backed No | 28c | 12,575$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,495.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…173ebacked No | 0c | 12,160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…c073backed No | 0c | 11,836$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd280…0c6cbacked No | 2c | 10,509$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…6b11backed No | 16c | 10,219$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.56 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…a456backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…3fc0backed No | 1c | 9,681$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…bd21backed No | 1c | 8,881$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…09d1backed No | 1c | 8,841$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae3…fa06backed No | 0c | 8,803$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f00…b3f5backed No | 1c | 8,566$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed No | 2c | 7,930$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…a779backed No | 2c | 7,922$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffe…4071backed No | 29c | 7,622$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1623…8f6abacked No | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 64c | 7,407$4,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.45 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9460…8548backed No | 1c | 7,182$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…787ebacked No | 1c | 7,066$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe939…78f5backed No | 1c | 6,946$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked No | 3c | 6,766$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…ff19backed No | 1c | 6,325$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…b5a2backed No | 1c | 6,256$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa87…2716backed No | 1c | 5,830$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfda9…6ef4backed No | 3c | 5,580$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed No | 39c | 5,500$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c93…2acdbacked No | 0c | 5,269$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…81f2backed No | 19c | 5,162$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e22…94d4backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…28a1backed No | 1c | 5,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked No | 1c | 5,000$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 63c | 4,938$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…f7c2backed No | 2c | 4,879$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc024…090fbacked No | 1c | 4,841$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2082…e207backed No | 2c | 4,484$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…74f4backed No | 1c | 4,223$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed No | 1c | 4,161$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 77c | 4,000$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadcf…0e2fbacked No | 1c | 3,904$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed No | 26c | 3,832$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.01 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dda…2b8bbacked No | 1c | 3,716$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ae…8370backed No | 14c | 3,561$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed No | 41c | 3,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed No | 1c | 3,428$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c3…4f9abacked No | 1c | 3,403$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…019cbacked No | 1c | 3,343$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…94c8backed No | 2c | 3,235$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…3f78backed No | 2c | 3,128$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed No | 1c | 3,079$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86cd…504cbacked Yes | 78c | 3,068$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.51 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceb3…108ebacked No | 2c | 2,957$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…477cbacked No | 2c | 2,834$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…9f40backed No | 2c | 2,800$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5d…8bb6backed No | 1c | 2,781$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…ba0abacked No | 2c | 2,698$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5763…1c22backed No | 28c | 2,686$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…b08dbacked No | 9c | 2,586$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…4239backed Yes | 71c | 2,582$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f3…0496backed No | 0c | 2,578$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x267b…2256backed No | 1c | 2,563$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…2b61backed No | 2c | 2,550$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe53…df5cbacked No | 2c | 2,463$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 73c | 2,456$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc898…1391backed No | 4c | 2,389$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 21c | 2,378$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.67 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…34f7backed No | 1c | 2,370$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 72c | 2,300$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 68c | 2,255$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.89 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 59c | 2,201$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.97 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb3…1f5bbacked No | 1c | 2,200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b96…5fbdbacked No | 2c | 2,175$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 2c | 2,158$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd86…c496backed No | 1c | 2,134$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 64c | 2,104$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…6307backed No | 1c | 2,103$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked No | 48c | 2,064$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked No | 1c | 2,062$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 44c | 2,039$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x291e…4b6abacked No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 2c | 2,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3b…2bf1backed No | 1c | 2,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1b…6084backed No | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…b2f0backed No | 1c | 2,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe51e…967abacked No | 36c | 1,970$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…caf6backed No | 2c | 1,933$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14f…098bbacked No | 1c | 1,927$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed No | 5c | 1,927$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…9be5backed No | 2c | 1,889$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked No | 2c | 1,889$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Yes | 59c | 1,835$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…8360backed No | 27c | 1,821$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 77c | 1,762$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.23 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?this page
- Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by December 31?No won
- Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.