Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0193af77b61a9ad04153364d49e0c1401444600bd61e2050462e206335977ad8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65c1…2988backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 45,899$16,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,523.62 | 262 | 55%144 W · 118 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked NRG | 64c | 28,447$18,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,347.79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed NRG | 64c | 24,000$15,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,644 | 524 | 55.2%289 W · 235 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked 100 Thieves | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked 100 Thieves | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,549.99 | 295 | 55.9%165 W · 130 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked NRG | 64c | 13,906$8,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,006.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked NRG | 64c | 5,600$3,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed 100 Thieves | 32c | 4,151$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.69 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed NRG | 64c | 3,490$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked NRG | 79c | 2,064$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked 100 Thieves | 29c | 1,883$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.55 | 790 | 44.3%350 W · 440 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…e8abbacked NRG | 63c | 1,809$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34e…d4d5backed 100 Thieves | 18c | 1,633$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed NRG | 63c | 1,619$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.95 | 179 | 39.7%71 W · 108 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 1,600$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.99 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 1,549$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.31 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed NRG | 64c | 1,328$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.13 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves | 25c | 1,257$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.28 | 686 | 58.3%400 W · 286 L | +56.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 1,162$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.24 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed NRG | 68c | 1,088$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.73 | 289 | 40.8%118 W · 171 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 1,019$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked NRG | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked NRG | 69c | 997.64$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.35 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed 100 Thieves | 26c | 981.63$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.35 | 193 | 37.8%73 W · 120 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed NRG | 64c | 938.05$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.05 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…aabfbacked 100 Thieves | 13c | 888.46$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 30c | 888.46$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.54 | 1,428 | 51.2%731 W · 697 L | +48.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG | 79c | 846$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.45 | 1,370 | 39%534 W · 836 L | -59.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8a…76a2backed NRG | 64c | 827.66$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.66 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NRG | 76c | 800.11$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.93 | 1,318 | 43.9%578 W · 740 L | -44.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked 100 Thieves | 25c | 790.84$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.72 | 974 | 45.1%439 W · 535 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed NRG | 72c | 768.4$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.18 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 751.24$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.53 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 749.73$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.9 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 678.95$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 298 | 33.2%99 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NRG | 68c | 666.87$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.22 | 657 | 59.4%390 W · 267 L | +50.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked 100 Thieves | 30c | 662.78$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.39 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 100 Thieves | 26c | 635$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.83 | 540 | 55.4%299 W · 241 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed NRG | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…eaa4backed 100 Thieves | 21c | 578.95$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.62 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…64b6backed NRG | 64c | 578.13$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.13 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 100 Thieves | 25c | 575.58$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd20…24dabacked 100 Thieves | 18c | 557.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 550.66$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.78 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 100 Thieves | 10c | 523.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 100 Thieves | 25c | 510.21$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.57 | 325 | 62.8%204 W · 121 L | +32.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 500.01$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 499.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed NRG | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…5d04backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 455.26$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed NRG | 66c | 452.14$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.2 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 183 | 49.7%91 W · 92 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed 100 Thieves | 18c | 388.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe454…8b7dbacked NRG | 77c | 388.56$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.86 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e14cbacked NRG | 63c | 382.78$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.63 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed 100 Thieves | 21c | 366.66$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 551 | 42.3%233 W · 318 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed 100 Thieves | 36c | 342.63$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.42 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 316.36$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.05 | 259 | 56.4%146 W · 113 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 303.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 938 | 48%450 W · 488 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked NRG | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cc…3bf0backed NRG | 63c | 288.46$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked 100 Thieves | 24c | 270.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 211 | 36.5%77 W · 134 L | -15.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf489…4cb0backed NRG | 64c | 270$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NRG | 79c | 263.88$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 902 | 44.3%400 W · 502 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 262.91$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed 100 Thieves | 23c | 262.01$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 269 | 32.3%87 W · 182 L | -25.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed NRG | 62c | 256.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.51 | 339 | 46.3%157 W · 182 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed NRG | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 252.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 1,284 | 32.1%412 W · 872 L | -67.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…5e2ebacked NRG | 76c | 251.3$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed 100 Thieves | 10c | 249.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…0705backed NRG | 66c | 245.54$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed NRG | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 100 Thieves | 18c | 232$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked 100 Thieves | 29c | 226.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 160 | 34.4%55 W · 105 L | -13.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked 100 Thieves | 21c | 225$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked 100 Thieves | 21c | 223.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 310 | 35.2%109 W · 201 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed NRG | 63c | 219.05$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.05 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -11.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed NRG | 69c | 210.32$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed NRG | 64c | 201.14$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed NRG | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…43e4backed NRG | 71c | 194.42$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 184.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c9…3831backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 181.79$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked NRG | 63c | 174.79$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.67 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked 100 Thieves | 26c | 172.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 171.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed NRG | 59c | 170.94$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked NRG | 63c | 169.84$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed NRG | 63c | 168.13$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 187 | 47.6%89 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed NRG | 70c | 165.55$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 533 | 59.3%316 W · 217 L | +42.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed NRG | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 438 | 59.1%259 W · 179 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed NRG | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 224 | 57.6%129 W · 95 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed NRG | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed NRG | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…0ddcbacked NRG | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cb…7284backed NRG | 64c | 154.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)NRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.