CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6eb718fa13388afa93963bd03b96f2ad080961f201543813a150b1b9fab16b8

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $47,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $44,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,420 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over	47c	10,113$4,753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,752.99	500	54.4%272 W · 228 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under	57c	8,713$4,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,718.03	5,050	55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L	+117.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	24c	5,341$1,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,256	3,257	50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L	+98.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over	43c	3,154$1,346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,346.4	882	42.3%373 W · 509 L	-13.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over	43c	3,000$1,290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,289.98	812	44.3%360 W · 452 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over	19c	2,030$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.94	2,214	47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Over	30c	1,832$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.56	66	39.4%26 W · 40 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under	51c	1,753$894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$858.71	471	47.3%223 W · 248 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Under	51c	1,176$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576.47	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-4.8wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Over	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under	57c	986.45$558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.54	2,009	53.9%1,082 W · 927 L	+7.6wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over	16c	976$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.16	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over	42c	749.99$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	499	35.1%175 W · 324 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	57c	644.64$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.19	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Over	42c	506.38$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.78	1,157	48.2%558 W · 599 L	+3.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Over	24c	505$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.27	1,969	46.7%919 W · 1,050 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2359…2bd0backed Under	56c	500$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162b…2b8cbacked Under	56c	500$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5979…fc4fbacked Under	56c	500$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	+11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under	56c	500$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Under	54c	499.99$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230	68	51.5%35 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Over	43c	499.98$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.99	287	38%109 W · 178 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Over	42c	499.97$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.99	106	44.3%47 W · 59 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	61c	436.98$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.71	1,630	43.2%704 W · 926 L	-32.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b7…1454backed Over	46c	434.78$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	147	43.5%64 W · 83 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Under	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Under	65c	387.44$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.52	401	41.6%167 W · 234 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over	35c	332.82$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.91	154	36.4%56 W · 98 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ff…0852backed Under	54c	300$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138	204	45.6%93 W · 111 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd8…54b3backed Over	46c	297.17$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.65	118	50%59 W · 59 L	-7.8wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	57c	286.63$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.25	2,624	51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Under	67c	227.59$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.06	917	43.7%401 W · 516 L	-35.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9535…ccdcbacked Over	25c	210$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under	53c	200$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	807	40.3%325 W · 482 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe9f…31e3backed Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.08	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x461f…8719backed Over	43c	149.77$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.4	125	44.8%56 W · 69 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb980…516abacked Under	70c	142.78$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.78	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under	53c	136.17$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	1,310	53.7%703 W · 607 L	+32.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over	32c	111.36$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.52	340	36.5%124 W · 216 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Over	43c	104.65$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8772…982dbacked Over	50c	100.8$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	137	53.3%73 W · 64 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,319	44.2%583 W · 736 L	+45.8wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbbb…5693backed Under	74c	100$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa92e…1160backed Over	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	207	32.4%67 W · 140 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Under	68c	99.99$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	1,485	58%862 W · 623 L	+66.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Under	51c	98.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.04	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Over	25c	97.27$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.36	202	51%103 W · 99 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8428…3faabacked Under	66c	96.56$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.83	46	30.4%14 W · 32 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	52c	88$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.24	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Under	57c	80.87$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.58	378	55.3%209 W · 169 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over	42c	80$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	111	50.5%56 W · 55 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under	53c	80$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.8	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa815…3518backed Under	57c	78.37$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.51	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a12…e633backed Over	26c	78.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	300	39.7%119 W · 181 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f43…d8a0backed Over	21c	56.47$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-73.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c11…02c8backed Over	43c	55.81$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f26…93bcbacked Over	42c	51.02$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.43	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Over	30c	50.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.01	117	40.2%47 W · 70 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Over	30c	50.02$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.01	70	40%28 W · 42 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…ab49backed Under	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Over	43c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	617	54.8%338 W · 279 L	-18.6wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c86…7effbacked Over	43c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under	55c	45.91$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.85	166	48.2%80 W · 86 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under	56c	42$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.51	500	56.6%283 W · 217 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under	74c	40.54$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.54	446	75.3%336 W · 110 L	+10.9wins	+0.02per pick	73cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Over	43c	40$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	277	35.7%99 W · 178 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…5531backed Under	58c	36.91$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.5	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed Over	47c	31.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	224	60.7%136 W · 88 L	+10.1wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dc5…e315backed Over	47c	31.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed Under	69c	29.98$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.29	236	56.4%133 W · 103 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Under	57c	29.67$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.69	190	52.6%100 W · 90 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over	43c	28.33$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	1,618	46.8%758 W · 860 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under	54c	27.89$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.97	406	35.7%145 W · 261 L	-33.0wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-31%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	56c	24$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.56	604	51%308 W · 296 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb52b…9646backed Under	57c	22.29$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.69	220	59.1%130 W · 90 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	314	40.1%126 W · 188 L	-17.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group AMOUZ won
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)MOUZ won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event