TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$485,860
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$557,062

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $485,860 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x47a8…52f9backed paiN30c134,000$40,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,20010142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked MOUZ70c98,546$68,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,563.7614050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed MOUZ70c40,000$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,00072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed paiN30c32,232$9,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,697.0223839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed MOUZ76c21,887$16,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,279.5315947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed paiN28c20,400$5,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,727.0988242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed paiN18c18,413$3,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,366.196737.3%25 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ72c17,385$12,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,888.585,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked MOUZ76c17,152$13,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,058.9764852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked paiN29c15,684$4,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,492.6516344.2%72 W · 91 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed paiN28c15,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.9967041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed MOUZ72c14,500$10,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,06050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked paiN15c14,285$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.431,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed MOUZ71c12,569$8,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,644.9623848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed MOUZ69c9,723$6,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,014.2542142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed paiN29c6,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.9871645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked paiN31c5,000$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.9817540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed MOUZ71c4,464$3,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.1566551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed MOUZ72c4,167$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.6733359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ76c3,763$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.853,25650.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L+97.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58d1…7ab6backed paiN30c3,433$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0304546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed paiN29c3,355$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.8716546.7%77 W · 88 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed paiN28c3,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9917045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked paiN30c2,933$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88016248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed MOUZ71c2,801$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.1522750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked MOUZ72c2,778$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.7820458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN29c2,450$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.491,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed paiN29c2,414$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed paiN1c2,195$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3610044%44 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa739…725abacked paiN1c2,177$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ74c2,116$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.165,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed MOUZ72c2,060$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.8534146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked paiN21c2,034$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.892,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked MOUZ72c2,033$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.336256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ72c2,000$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.341,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed paiN28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5605251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked paiN29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58031253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed paiN29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016732.9%55 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed paiN9c1,682$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7587330.9%270 W · 603 L-62.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked MOUZ75c1,600$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.8166446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed paiN28c1,577$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.6321945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked paiN28c1,527$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.692544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed MOUZ70c1,510$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.4224262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54c2…23adbacked paiN29c1,509$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.528748.3%42 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed MOUZ69c1,506$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.0120249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed MOUZ70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45060748.1%292 W · 315 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed paiN29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4354542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed MOUZ70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d9…9e0ebacked paiN26c1,500$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3857247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed paiN29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.9924935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked MOUZ70c1,479$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.6827552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a0…4469backed MOUZ72c1,372$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.1614759.2%87 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked paiN26c1,318$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.191,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed paiN17c1,280$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.624339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed MOUZ73c1,278$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.2580542.2%340 W · 465 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked paiN4c1,250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.926647%31 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed MOUZ76c1,246$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.232,49141.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L-114.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed paiN11c1,167$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3315436.4%56 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed paiN6c1,152$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3749646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked MOUZ73c1,077$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.210442.3%44 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked paiN30c1,035$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.1210138.6%39 W · 62 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked paiN20c1,029$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9227838.1%106 W · 172 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c44…4b9dbacked paiN8c1,014$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805226.9%14 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked paiN11c1,014$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5469624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked MOUZ68c1,004$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.1955843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed paiN29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29029851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked MOUZ70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed66…4d20backed MOUZ70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002070%14 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed MOUZ69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…aea3backed paiN29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ72c985.91$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.061,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed MOUZ78c973.98$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.692,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7ea…6a44backed MOUZ80c956$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.231040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed paiN29c908.57$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.5710546.7%49 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6754…e4fcbacked paiN28c900$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529153.8%49 W · 42 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+123.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41dc…9c3dbacked paiN29c879.45$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.045330.2%16 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked MOUZ69c862.23$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.2916245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked paiN29c862.07$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25052236.8%192 W · 330 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4031…c848backed paiN30c850$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25511135.1%39 W · 72 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed paiN28c799.99$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2248748.3%42 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ72c745.2$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.934,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed paiN20c721.71$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.844,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed paiN29c700$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20331345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f5d…de70backed MOUZ72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.447166.2%47 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed paiN29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ70c670.32$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.091,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed paiN30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a12…e633backed paiN8c658.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030039.7%119 W · 181 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed MOUZ70c650$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3237…571ebacked paiN8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505431.5%17 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed MOUZ77c617$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.6464046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed MOUZ76c600$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1461,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2f43…d8a0backed paiN7c580.45$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.19714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4759…dc6ebacked MOUZ72c555$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.44870.8%34 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed paiN29c537.93$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15613754%74 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed paiN29c519.76$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7380740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c6…1e14backed MOUZ71c509.99$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.914544.8%65 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c42…e05cbacked paiN29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked paiN31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15594445.7%431 W · 513 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7a…afb0backed paiN30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012134.7%42 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.