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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,609
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,609 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed paiN29c20,419$5,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,929.7533343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed MOUZ72c14,100$10,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,960.0850754%274 W · 233 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed paiN16c6,416$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.531,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked paiN13c6,306$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.563,26950.3%1,644 W · 1,625 L+98.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked MOUZ71c5,358$3,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.1866151.9%343 W · 318 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked paiN14c5,207$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.52,26247.7%1,080 W · 1,182 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN29c5,173$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.72,13742%897 W · 1,240 L-48.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked paiN9c4,471$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.7164856.9%369 W · 279 L+41.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked MOUZ73c4,275$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.036464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd8d…a7a8backed paiN28c4,005$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.124748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed paiN29c3,515$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.846850.2%235 W · 233 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked paiN29c2,930$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.440140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked paiN28c2,878$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.764142%269 W · 372 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed paiN13c2,494$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.736,54042.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L-81.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58d1…7ab6backed paiN28c2,143$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked MOUZ71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58014257%81 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed paiN12c1,578$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1989748.6%436 W · 461 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked paiN12c1,501$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.621,28247.3%607 W · 675 L+22.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed paiN22c1,252$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.4858522.4%131 W · 454 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765a…5ce4backed MOUZ73c1,200$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32414949%73 W · 76 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed paiN10c1,192$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2248046.3%222 W · 258 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked paiN12c1,125$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.692,82937.7%1,066 W · 1,763 L-138.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ68c1,102$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.325,19455.2%2,869 W · 2,325 L+131.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed MOUZ73c843.02$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5315155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed MOUZ70c809.73$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.7920251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked paiN28c750$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21031253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed MOUZ70c719.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.2311061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked paiN6c713.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.093,37545.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L-84.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked MOUZ72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4423449.1%115 W · 119 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed paiN24c672.71$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.115536.8%57 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed paiN5c634.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7563234.7%219 W · 413 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked paiN16c619.29$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.91,18448%568 W · 616 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked paiN32c618.33$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8641649.3%205 W · 211 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked paiN10c610.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.674,87943.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L-93.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed paiN22c609.83$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1629934.4%103 W · 196 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed MOUZ71c582.23$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.2411863.6%75 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed paiN17c565.28$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.654,27549.3%2,108 W · 2,167 L+64.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed paiN30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15054345.1%245 W · 298 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed paiN20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028243.6%123 W · 159 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed MOUZ80c488$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.617345.7%79 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked paiN32c483.82$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8255843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed MOUZ72c478.85$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3564046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0938…4e4cbacked MOUZ69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.785641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed MOUZ74c429.94$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9497445.5%443 W · 531 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed MOUZ72c406.76$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8926649.2%131 W · 135 L-14.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed paiN14c372.57$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5191743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed paiN14c347.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.62,69752.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L+30.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed paiN32c338.9$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked paiN14c331.31$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.765,18337.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L-274.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed MOUZ79c316.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.131,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x6281…e326backed paiN5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510938.5%42 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed MOUZ79c298.89$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2871071.7%509 W · 201 L+123.0wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+23.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xf898…deffbacked paiN28c292.64$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9413839.9%55 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8372…01e6backed MOUZ73c273.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.966365.1%41 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed paiN28c271$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8833146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c07…08c5backed MOUZ73c250$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.55438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed paiN15c249.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.532136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed paiN20c247.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040348.6%196 W · 207 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed paiN13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,34644.1%594 W · 752 L+45.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed paiN12c226$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.12,44246.8%1,142 W · 1,300 L-54.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked MOUZ72c223.79$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6642050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a2…c0c5backed MOUZ69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.391850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed paiN34c205.88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7038835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482,60652.6%1,371 W · 1,235 L+96.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked paiN28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5646342.5%197 W · 266 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeff…42fbbacked paiN33c196.97$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked MOUZ79c195.32$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.696947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed paiN10c181.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.265,46631.5%1,722 W · 3,744 L-400.1wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa176…89a0backed MOUZ73c171.64$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.343348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed paiN9c170$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.828841.7%120 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked MOUZ70c153.77$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.131,05157.2%601 W · 450 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab9…3facbacked paiN12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed paiN29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.534036.5%124 W · 216 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…5762backed paiN28c140$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.218052.8%95 W · 85 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked MOUZ72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8958149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked MOUZ73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9947065.5%308 W · 162 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed paiN32c123.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5728738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked MOUZ72c122.22$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2233457.8%193 W · 141 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked paiN24c120$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.241716.5%69 W · 348 L-36.7wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-42%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe200…5886backed paiN10c103.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012955%71 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked paiN11c101.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.041,68532.7%551 W · 1,134 L-48.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed paiN12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241848.8%204 W · 214 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed paiN10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1038312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed paiN30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3084342.2%356 W · 487 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed MOUZ72c81.94$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.948660.5%52 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92b…57efbacked MOUZ71c70.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.452665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+48.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed paiN31c65.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.228246.3%38 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed MOUZ79c64.86$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.532,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775e…0a5dbacked MOUZ73c50.58$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.665100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked paiN20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109740.2%39 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked paiN20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011740.2%47 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0076…b1b6backed MOUZ73c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.55358.5%31 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked MOUZ72c48.61$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6148566.2%321 W · 164 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed MOUZ67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7859354.8%325 W · 268 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x692c…aadebacked paiN34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3eb…d78bbacked MOUZ74c41.58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.812445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked MOUZ73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.144675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0950…a26dbacked paiN33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.29138.5%35 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed paiN33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.216741.9%70 W · 97 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b6…2c93backed MOUZ73c39.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.736654.5%36 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.