TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,688
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,617

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,688 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x098c…1c67backed Under51c13,091$6,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,675.31,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over49c8,925$4,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,551.7538235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over49c6,127$2,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.771,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Under52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.971,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under51c2,496$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.131,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c2,108$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.42,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Under52c1,572$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.318934.8%31 W · 58 L-10.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc623…5808backed Under48c1,130$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.3212446%57 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under48c1,102$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.6716842.9%72 W · 96 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Over48c1,032$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.736048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over49c1,021$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.7310237.3%38 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5206741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked Over49c887.3$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.44746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Over48c800$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41612850%64 W · 64 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under52c778.39$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.7638640.4%156 W · 230 L-17.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa318…77cfbacked Over50c750$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3753644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81cc…364dbacked Under41c749.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Over50c744.9$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.1332755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddd3…e31fbacked Over48c709.97$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.181656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7a…aaaebacked Over48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32526151.7%135 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dab…4211backed Under50c599.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010241.2%42 W · 60 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over55c539.1$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4428643%123 W · 163 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Under53c527.07$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.8229948.8%146 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Over50c511.89$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.8930440.1%122 W · 182 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9559…9fd7backed Over59c508.68$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under52c481.58$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.4224445.1%110 W · 134 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca3…f975backed Under44c416.39$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1832147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under44c411.56$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.942,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under52c355.66$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.311,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under55c343.96$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.41,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96a0…79ddbacked Over59c336.89$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.891464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89d1…55b8backed Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1567663.2%48 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked Over53c299.26$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2628166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Over56c266.17$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1135054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under39c260.39$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5548844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Over49c254.33$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7149461.3%303 W · 191 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f03…9372backed Over49c224.58$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.581442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3341060.5%248 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3328652.8%151 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Under53c207.94$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11028852.1%150 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under46c204.84$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.381,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01f1…0bb3backed Over49c201.04$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.531241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Under49c200.27$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9847630.7%146 W · 330 L-13.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over50c196.63$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.021,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Under52c182.12$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6119553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4813…9c01backed Over49c180.4$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.181942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over48c179.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.192,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x630b…34ffbacked Over49c162.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8511056.4%62 W · 48 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under47c153.31$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.412,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x861f…1ddcbacked Under53c150.38$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b89…fdf9backed Over48c149.96$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9852650.8%267 W · 259 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under26c127.37$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.723,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under47c123.9$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8275150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Under46c123.14$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1348747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under30c119.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.82,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1718752.4%98 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5874…64c3backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.174949%24 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1714841.2%61 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+67.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Over61c102.64$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0331244.6%139 W · 173 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb7db…b1f2backed Over49c102.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc68f…5106backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-48%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5210141.6%42 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529441.5%39 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4974849.6%371 W · 377 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5220439.2%80 W · 124 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5342751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Over49c87.27$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5110949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd395…3731backed Over48c81.25$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.256636.4%24 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under40c79.81$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.161,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xccd7…f491backed Under52c74.17$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5742246.4%196 W · 226 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under38c66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.831,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Under43c63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0331646.5%147 W · 169 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.518165.7%119 W · 62 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Over47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.82128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under29c58.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.971,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e2d…8a1dbacked Over56c58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.523050%15 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+122%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeafe…c310backed Over47c57.15$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.159742.3%41 W · 56 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f5…d680backed Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.53951.3%20 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under52c49.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.91,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under51c43.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2650848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fad…20c6backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.678100%8 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x433a…38e5backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.676946.4%32 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over49c41.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2266058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x604b…a009backed Over49c40.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.51650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa324…afc9backed Over46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.63240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Over48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.811354%61 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a12…e633backed Over58c34.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6223041.7%96 W · 134 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee9…47e5backed Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Under52c32.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…62c5backed Over48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Over48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2514650.7%74 W · 72 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Under51c29.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.357655.9%322 W · 254 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over48c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0415748.4%76 W · 81 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over48c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5229554.2%160 W · 135 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Under53c24.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353955.1%297 W · 242 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over47c22.04$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5834834.2%119 W · 229 L-39.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7843…7f7dbacked Over48c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9215240.1%61 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.