TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1fad…20c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Centurion 2: Alexander Donski vs Tuncay Duranbacked Tuncay Duran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Andres Martinbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$8.32
Birmingham: Harry Wendelken vs Mark Lajalbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Elias Ymerbacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Prostejov: Alexander Shevchenko vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Svajdabacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Jakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$27.57
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Jong (+2.5)backed Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignonbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Chong/Erjavec vs Hunter/McNallybacked Chong/Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$16.15
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+249.2%+$37.38
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$20.36
Roland Garros ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+168.9%+$259.21
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.18
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Dane Sweenybacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT8100%8 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+65.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$60.91
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.