TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Birmingham: Harry Wendelken vs Mark Lajal

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mark Lajalof Harry Wendelken, Mark Lajal
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,410 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x42c9…9623backed Harry Wendelken25c12,008$2,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,948.094,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Harry Wendelken8c7,153$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.0944018.9%83 W · 357 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mark Lajal68c6,658$4,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.656,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ae…c975backed Harry Wendelken35c2,168$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75021537.2%80 W · 135 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Harry Wendelken33c1,959$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.3957842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Mark Lajal67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5450458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Harry Wendelken22c1,431$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.838,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Mark Lajal65c1,286$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4508045%36 W · 44 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Harry Wendelken6c1,160$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6165952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Mark Lajal66c1,112$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3782,14454.2%1,162 W · 982 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a34…51fabacked Harry Wendelken5c994.29$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.422020%44 W · 176 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Harry Wendelken34c965.79$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.371,47435.1%518 W · 956 L-14.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Mark Lajal77c959.14$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.731,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Harry Wendelken14c891.61$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6142125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Harry Wendelken12c833$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8930436.2%110 W · 194 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Harry Wendelken33c762.84$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.076,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0206…bf76backed Mark Lajal67c742.27$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.954763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Harry Wendelken33c720.9$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.91,84244.8%825 W · 1,017 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Mark Lajal69c523.94$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.914849.3%73 W · 75 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Harry Wendelken32c517.18$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.594940.1%381 W · 568 L+30.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Mark Lajal68c515.53$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3821846.8%102 W · 116 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Harry Wendelken6c449.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.162,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Mark Lajal67c441.18$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.591,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Harry Wendelken33c441.18$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.591,84445.7%843 W · 1,001 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Mark Lajal80c418.97$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.272,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Harry Wendelken34c409$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.062,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Mark Lajal69c401.58$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4933540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Mark Lajal68c399.99$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12837744.8%169 W · 208 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd748…de35backed Harry Wendelken6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+87.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Harry Wendelken43c320.23$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.626134.1%89 W · 172 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Mark Lajal67c320$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.636361.7%224 W · 139 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Mark Lajal67c311.91$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4660856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Harry Wendelken40c299.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,54049.2%758 W · 782 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fdd…2fb9backed Harry Wendelken32c296.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.043844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Mark Lajal65c283.63$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.273,18748.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L-46.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb6…96d1backed Mark Lajal71c278.64$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1246565.6%305 W · 160 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Harry Wendelken33c249$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.173,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Harry Wendelken27c248.71$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.333,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Harry Wendelken30c243.94$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.492138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Mark Lajal70c234.53$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.361,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Harry Wendelken13c230.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013928.1%39 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc16…4b2fbacked Harry Wendelken34c229.32$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.892045%9 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa23c…ae92backed Mark Lajal66c227.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2717959.8%107 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mark Lajal69c222.47$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0811,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Mark Lajal78c213.81$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.376,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Harry Wendelken34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682,21242.9%948 W · 1,264 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Mark Lajal66c198.77$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1757953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Harry Wendelken32c172.92$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.175,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Harry Wendelken10c171.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8985624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Harry Wendelken33c170.91$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.092,39438.4%920 W · 1,474 L+87.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Harry Wendelken33c160$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.91,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Harry Wendelken33c155$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1545744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Mark Lajal70c153.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8491755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Mark Lajal66c152.38$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.811,69248.8%826 W · 866 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Mark Lajal66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5269253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Harry Wendelken34c149.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5058045.9%266 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Harry Wendelken24c149.2$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.482,02546.9%950 W · 1,075 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Mark Lajal67c149$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.171,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked Harry Wendelken7c143.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.63208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Mark Lajal66c140.78$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.871,63848.2%789 W · 849 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Mark Lajal59c140.59$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6459065.4%386 W · 204 L-16.3wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Mark Lajal73c127.44$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2520259.4%120 W · 82 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Mark Lajal67c119.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.439260.5%237 W · 155 L-1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Mark Lajal66c115.15$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1533647.3%159 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Mark Lajal68c114$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5489164.3%573 W · 318 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75f…d7f6backed Mark Lajal67c113.43$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4320764.7%134 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Harry Wendelken15c109.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Mark Lajal66c104.53$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5438854.1%210 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3bd…6dddbacked Mark Lajal60c102$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.83652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Harry Wendelken34c100.48$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.685637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Mark Lajal66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.81,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Mark Lajal70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308158%47 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Mark Lajal60c96.7$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.682,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Mark Lajal66c95$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.37,10049.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L+107.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Mark Lajal65c94.37$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.031,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Harry Wendelken41c94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.542,40451.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L+12.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Mark Lajal67c91.06$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0552557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x097c…630abacked Harry Wendelken28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521052.4%110 W · 100 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Harry Wendelken19c89.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.741,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x0813…41e1backed Mark Lajal67c78$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7437158.8%218 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a2…8ff7backed Harry Wendelken33c76.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8339443.9%173 W · 221 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Mark Lajal66c75.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.762,05659.5%1,224 W · 832 L-0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Mark Lajal72c72.42$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9370456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Harry Wendelken34c72.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5123942.7%102 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Mark Lajal60c69.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.966464.1%41 W · 23 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Mark Lajal67c62.64$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.671,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Harry Wendelken33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2093258.5%545 W · 387 L+22.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Mark Lajal79c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.634847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Harry Wendelken34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42,44235.8%874 W · 1,568 L-29.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Harry Wendelken32c59.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9354746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Harry Wendelken34c57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.361,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Mark Lajal67c56.12$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5289659.6%534 W · 362 L+1.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Mark Lajal66c50.49$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3199056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe29…eb76backed Harry Wendelken40c49.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018330.1%55 W · 128 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb90…c03dbacked Harry Wendelken32c48.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.565543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Mark Lajal67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.242353.7%227 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Harry Wendelken34c35.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.061,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed Mark Lajal67c34.54$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.47964.6%51 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Mark Lajal80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.152,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bd…e48fbacked Mark Lajal65c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6515053.3%80 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.