TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, BNK FEARX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$252,830
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$300,948

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,830 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked BNK FEARX39c50,074$19,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,507.4696048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed T159c44,485$26,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,094.3925143.4%109 W · 142 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed BNK FEARX41c40,000$16,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,40059450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked T160c23,030$13,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,211.929750.5%49 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed T159c20,474$12,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,394.3654353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked BNK FEARX41c20,000$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,199.981,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked BNK FEARX40c20,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.9614448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked BNK FEARX40c12,481$4,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,992.4690348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked T159c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.9967552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed T159c8,480$5,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,476.87758.4%45 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked T161c8,131$4,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,171.1538462%238 W · 146 L-0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed T160c7,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8002250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed T165c6,154$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.858949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed BNK FEARX41c6,143$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.636854.4%37 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed BNK FEARX40c5,150$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.991,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed T160c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00046257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked BNK FEARX41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0501,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked T159c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,05044550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked T159c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.9932457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed BNK FEARX41c4,953$2,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,030.841,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked BNK FEARX41c4,900$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0091,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed BNK FEARX42c4,733$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.7244451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked BNK FEARX40c4,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60049940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed BNK FEARX40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9715046%69 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed T160c2,739$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.684461.4%27 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e86…cb8fbacked T160c2,600$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed T159c2,542$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.371,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed T159c2,505$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.9921154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe49d…c3dbbacked T159c2,458$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.6363247.6%301 W · 331 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked T159c2,220$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.211753%62 W · 55 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T159c2,121$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.611,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked BNK FEARX40c2,016$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.5264749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed T159c1,700$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6975851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed T160c1,641$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.4416344.8%73 W · 90 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed T161c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3419053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed BNK FEARX41c1,637$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.352,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked BNK FEARX41c1,500$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.591,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed T161c1,475$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.4139055.4%216 W · 174 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed BNK FEARX40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.930151.5%155 W · 146 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe077…369bbacked T161c1,241$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.994763.8%30 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed T160c1,156$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.4639447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked T160c1,094$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.628053.8%43 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked BNK FEARX79c1,010$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80028642.7%122 W · 164 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked T160c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40010049%49 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed T159c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c65…4f24backed T158c999.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4207657.9%44 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed T158c999.92$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.9747047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ad0…bd83backed T161c830.92$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.981060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b4…2c37backed T160c816.67$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.671942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed BNK FEARX40c800$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32364453.9%347 W · 297 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x321d…d0acbacked T161c732.93$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.9312462.9%78 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BNK FEARX36c659.68$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.262,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe2b…20e4backed T161c650$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.55448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked BNK FEARX21c642.16$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1448844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe041…a51dbacked T179c632.97$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.976753.7%36 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed T160c616.67$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.677856.4%44 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36e6…ad16backed T165c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.388264.6%53 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked BNK FEARX42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25221150.7%107 W · 104 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed BNK FEARX40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed T161c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed T159c599.97$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.991,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed BNK FEARX35c580.25$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7111643.1%50 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BNK FEARX31c568.34$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.632,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed T162c557.92$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.7432755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x709e…ef0cbacked T160c541.73$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.692454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked T160c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008547.1%40 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89d1…55b8backed T160c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007663.2%48 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked T165c461.53$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5414154.6%77 W · 64 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked BNK FEARX39c444$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.161,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed T161c442.62$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6280832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed T160c438.33$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3348852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507c…6c0cbacked T170c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1206744.8%30 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked BNK FEARX41c370$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.720154.7%110 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26c6…1e14backed BNK FEARX40c360.5$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.228350.2%142 W · 141 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked BNK FEARX41c340.26$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.519060%54 W · 36 L+10.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed T160c339.25$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.712340.7%50 W · 73 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed T160c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3329761.6%183 W · 114 L-12.0wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0814…875abacked T160c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3330057.7%173 W · 127 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed BNK FEARX41c330.97$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.341,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed T160c330$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1322387%20 W · 3 L+5.2wins+0.23per pick64cpaid+37.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcd2b…2f59backed T170c329.71$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.77580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+62.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed T161c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8718348.1%88 W · 95 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc57b…0a2bbacked T161c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8711339.8%45 W · 68 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb627…2d13backed T161c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8751552.6%271 W · 244 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed T160c325$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.251,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed BNK FEARX38c313.08$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12027050.7%137 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e2…68f1backed T159c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12321256.1%119 W · 93 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed BNK FEARX40c290$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked T160c288.33$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3376047%357 W · 403 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf4c…d171backed T160c284.83$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.936149.2%30 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked T160c266.67$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.672161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed T160c266.67$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6765063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d7…dacfbacked T160c258.33$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3328965.1%188 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed BNK FEARX39c255.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed T160c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016640.4%67 W · 99 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked T160c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10079653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0b…6583backed BNK FEARX43c245.7$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6412142.1%51 W · 70 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked BNK FEARX41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020546.3%95 W · 110 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed BNK FEARX40c243$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5379745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed BNK FEARX42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.