TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Tyler: Adam Walton vs Andres Martin

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Adam Waltonof Adam Walton, Andres Martin
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,746

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,775 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Andres Martin34c29,105$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,90074439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Andres Martin13c12,187$1,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.998,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Adam Walton74c11,244$8,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,871.5811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Adam Walton75c10,159$7,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.966,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Adam Walton75c6,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50056757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1bf…e36bbacked Andres Martin22c4,624$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004117.1%7 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Adam Walton66c4,587$3,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.984,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Adam Walton68c3,835$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.863,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Andres Martin13c3,792$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4931,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Adam Walton71c3,724$2,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.374,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c2f…499cbacked Adam Walton77c3,104$2,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.3610345.6%47 W · 56 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Andres Martin25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75057842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Adam Walton70c2,884$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.433,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Adam Walton76c2,632$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.5850458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Andres Martin25c2,386$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.471,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Andres Martin29c2,225$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.916,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Andres Martin11c2,217$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.637,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Adam Walton75c1,600$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.5719167%128 W · 63 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Adam Walton76c1,531$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.78,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa3…ff46backed Andres Martin34c1,516$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.85728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Andres Martin22c1,360$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30057321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0267…7f7ebacked Andres Martin33c1,270$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.1230436.2%110 W · 194 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19c6…c063backed Andres Martin25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa5b…7650backed Andres Martin23c1,159$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.619544.2%42 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Andres Martin12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.029,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Andres Martin28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7736…6f6abacked Andres Martin32c947.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007716.9%13 W · 64 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-54.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Andres Martin13c792.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.22,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Adam Walton68c777$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.641,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Adam Walton78c751.2$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.442,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Andres Martin26c699.95$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.996036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Andres Martin14c694.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Andres Martin24c665.25$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.661,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Andres Martin10c607.91$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.84,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Andres Martin24c600$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1447,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0094…eea5backed Andres Martin5c599.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+92.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Adam Walton71c592$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.065,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Andres Martin17c512.6$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.72,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Adam Walton79c503.81$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.851,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Andres Martin12c500.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.014,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Adam Walton78c499.96$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6619349.7%96 W · 97 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Andres Martin12c458.33$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Adam Walton74c427.43$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.137,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Adam Walton71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5438652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Andres Martin25c420.93$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5158745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Andres Martin12c409.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.171,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Andres Martin24c408.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Andres Martin28c400.44$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6191755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc243…22c8backed Adam Walton70c399.99$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1224854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Andres Martin13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Adam Walton80c365.73$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.151,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb90…c03dbacked Andres Martin31c307.65$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.25543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Adam Walton63c306$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.224,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Adam Walton75c297.09$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0765157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed Adam Walton77c287.57$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9318158.6%106 W · 75 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0378…030bbacked Adam Walton71c286.32$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0310764.5%69 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Adam Walton70c275.74$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.741,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Andres Martin22c265.97$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4759253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Adam Walton76c259.74$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.341,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2996…fd9dbacked Andres Martin31c258.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808962.9%56 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacd…646ebacked Adam Walton76c242.64$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.231650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Adam Walton76c232$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.681,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Andres Martin24c232$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.781,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Andres Martin24c221.21$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.093,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Adam Walton66c220$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.833442.5%142 W · 192 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22c7…d814backed Adam Walton76c210.53$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5340554.1%219 W · 186 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Andres Martin30c208.1$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.439543.2%41 W · 54 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Adam Walton76c207.11$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8820259.4%120 W · 82 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e58…5bf4backed Adam Walton77c203.9$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.92673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Adam Walton71c201.63$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.222,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Andres Martin24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4836852.7%194 W · 174 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Andres Martin23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468158%47 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Adam Walton77c199.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.826,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Andres Martin24c198.4$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.623,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Andres Martin18c190.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.392138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Andres Martin24c184.76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.342,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Adam Walton74c183.56$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2478840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Adam Walton79c180.41$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1666834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Adam Walton69c180$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7580153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Andres Martin33c176.66$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4278350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Andres Martin27c174.95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.571,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Adam Walton71c164.45$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.446,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Andres Martin25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022235.1%78 W · 144 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Adam Walton76c157.89$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8984968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Andres Martin13c156.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.344349%217 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6655backed Adam Walton71c144$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7614255.6%79 W · 63 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Andres Martin25c135.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8618038.3%69 W · 111 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Andres Martin13c123.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1687854.7%480 W · 398 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Andres Martin13c123.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1694255.8%526 W · 416 L+19.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Adam Walton65c120$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4292548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Andres Martin24c120$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.847854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f06…3e6ebacked Andres Martin23c115.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.935617.9%10 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Andres Martin33c111.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.172,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387f…70a8backed Adam Walton78c107.23$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.67562.7%47 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7454…57f2backed Adam Walton78c95.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5720949.8%104 W · 105 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Adam Walton79c93.42$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.151,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c7d…b743backed Adam Walton76c92.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.114852.1%25 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Adam Walton69c88.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5952152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6324…e147backed Andres Martin13c88.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.163246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Andres Martin14c87.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0685742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.