TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6324…e147

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF M15 Bali 2 Men: Asahi Harazaki vs Hikaru Shiraishibacked Hikaru Shiraishi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Bloomfield Hills: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Andres Martinbacked Dhakshineswar Suresh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+119.3%+$26.77
Hamburg European Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+157.5%+$25.55
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+87%+$13.07
Segovia: Paul Inchauspe vs Keegan Smithbacked Keegan Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+124.2%+$16.23
ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescubacked Stefan Adrian Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.53
ITF Bacau: Radu David Turcanu vs Tudor Batinbacked Tudor Batin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+199.1%+$22.12
ITF Champaign: Evan Bynoe vs Yassine Dlimibacked Evan Bynoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$6.25
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.14
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Sotobacked Matias Soto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Belluccibacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.65
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Maddison Inglis vs Alycia Parksbacked Maddison Inglis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+260.7%+$27.7
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Gauthier Onclinbacked Marc-Andrea Huesler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$7.06
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizubacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$18.62
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Tyler: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Gorznybacked Sebastian Gorzny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Makarska: Akasha Urhobo vs Darja Semenistajabacked Akasha Urhobo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Makarska: Petra Marcinko vs Barbora Palicovabacked Barbora Palicova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+152.6%+$16.82
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+85%+$20.79
Makarska: Lucie Havlickova vs Yasmine Kabbajbacked Lucie Havlickova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Makarska: Tena Lukas vs Darja Semenistajabacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$6.15
Birmingham: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Katie Swanbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+232.7%+$28.89
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.52
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+534%+$108.13
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$5.92
Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.64
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+69%+$7.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$5.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.