CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3737e8fd9e1ba3c3835946e319a9d158cf3de6a4c65433644ec0f18f9bd6b17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AM Gamingof 1WIN, AM Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1WIN | 59c | 12,589$7,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,478.27 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed AM Gaming | 37c | 9,678$3,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,084.44 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed AM Gaming | 38c | 2,302$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.18 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed AM Gaming | 46c | 1,698$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.93 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…0c0abacked 1WIN | 56c | 830.59$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.33 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 1WIN | 70c | 800$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.62 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed AM Gaming | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 1WIN | 73c | 776.31$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.21 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 1WIN | 62c | 721.17$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.95 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed AM Gaming | 28c | 718$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.31 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed AM Gaming | 38c | 541.59$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.89 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AM Gaming | 31c | 523.65$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.66 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed AM Gaming | 48c | 519.38$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.45 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed 1WIN | 69c | 399.54$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.66 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed AM Gaming | 20c | 350$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN | 62c | 327.47$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.53 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked AM Gaming | 49c | 312.88$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.88 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed 1WIN | 55c | 276.18$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.69 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked AM Gaming | 79c | 250.46$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1WIN | 42c | 249.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked AM Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 1WIN | 58c | 161.05$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.22 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed 1WIN | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1WIN | 60c | 121.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked 1WIN | 77c | 114$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 1WIN | 53c | 107.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed 1WIN | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed 1WIN | 53c | 99.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked AM Gaming | 39c | 82.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked 1WIN | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked AM Gaming | 36c | 54.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked AM Gaming | 53c | 50.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked 1WIN | 44c | 49.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed AM Gaming | 52c | 45.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed 1WIN | 61c | 38.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed 1WIN | 51c | 33.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed AM Gaming | 58c | 25.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f77…39f8backed 1WIN | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed 1WIN | 76c | 24.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed 1WIN | 53c | 24.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed 1WIN | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…e147backed 1WIN | 63c | 19.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs AM Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 PlayoffsAM Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs AM Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAM Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs AM Gaming (+1.5)AM Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.