CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda377b69a64932442479b5cd024a74f0e0295656c06645123095557acc94c223
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AM Gamingof 1WIN, AM Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked 1WIN | 49c | 2,132$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.51 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed AM Gaming | 38c | 992$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.74 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…b15bbacked AM Gaming | 48c | 764.63$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.08 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…9e0ebacked AM Gaming | 68c | 700$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed AM Gaming | 47c | 617.02$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.02 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AM Gaming | 49c | 539.61$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.4 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 1WIN | 42c | 497.36$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.74 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed 1WIN | 47c | 428.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 212 | 47.6%101 W · 111 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed 1WIN | 56c | 407.15$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.14 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 1WIN | 39c | 395.1$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.97 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed 1WIN | 36c | 267$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 261 | 34.5%90 W · 171 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…9054backed AM Gaming | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.34 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +217.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked AM Gaming | 50c | 188.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed AM Gaming | 51c | 148.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked AM Gaming | 60c | 145.81$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked 1WIN | 73c | 136$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…019fbacked 1WIN | 54c | 129.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -9.1wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked 1WIN | 51c | 125.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed 1WIN | 49c | 125.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.89 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN | 44c | 114.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed 1WIN | 35c | 105.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed AM Gaming | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 1WIN | 43c | 94.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 1WIN | 76c | 93.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed 1WIN | 31c | 87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed AM Gaming | 52c | 77.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1WIN | 60c | 75.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed 1WIN | 45c | 69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0315…760cbacked 1WIN | 18c | 60.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1WIN | 45c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed 1WIN | 27c | 43.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed 1WIN | 36c | 43.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed AM Gaming | 42c | 41.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked AM Gaming | 55c | 37.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb32d…d18fbacked AM Gaming | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked AM Gaming | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed 1WIN | 74c | 30.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 408 | 56.9%232 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed AM Gaming | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 565 | 54.2%306 W · 259 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed AM Gaming | 52c | 25.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked AM Gaming | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed AM Gaming | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed 1WIN | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed AM Gaming | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 425 | 38.6%164 W · 261 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked 1WIN | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs AM Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 PlayoffsAM Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs AM Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAM Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs AM Gaming (+1.5)AM Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.