TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Juan Estevezof Juan Estevez, Matias Soto
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$282,537
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$283,169

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,537 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Matias Soto58c43,021$24,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,986.7274439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c77…4d42backed Matias Soto18c19,130$3,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,375.8240%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Matias Soto60c11,347$6,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,76636145.2%163 W · 198 L-19.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Juan Estevez43c10,585$4,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,085.844,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Juan Estevez41c9,020$3,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,323.276,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Juan Estevez44c8,489$3,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,783.7911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3695…c66cbacked Matias Soto57c6,996$3,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,978.246549.2%32 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Juan Estevez77c6,895$5,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.944,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Matias Soto55c6,770$3,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,718.8514757.1%84 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Juan Estevez58c6,028$3,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.126,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Juan Estevez58c5,547$3,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,338.672,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Juan Estevez62c4,969$3,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.624,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Juan Estevez66c4,064$2,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.491,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78cc…a081backed Matias Soto8c3,239$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.613221.9%7 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Juan Estevez64c3,209$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.315,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Juan Estevez41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7704,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Matias Soto45c2,671$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.0754634.4%188 W · 358 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Matias Soto39c2,533$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.981,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked Juan Estevez75c2,400$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6006553.8%35 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Matias Soto57c2,281$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30020045%90 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Juan Estevez45c2,198$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.7678840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Matias Soto29c2,069$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.9522154.8%121 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Juan Estevez57c2,055$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.564,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Matias Soto58c1,983$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.5630847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Juan Estevez41c1,939$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.0156827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Matias Soto27c1,929$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.8971725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Juan Estevez60c1,764$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.71,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Juan Estevez52c1,403$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.828,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Matias Soto27c1,383$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.092,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Juan Estevez43c1,381$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.442341.4%175 W · 248 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Juan Estevez44c1,365$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.8248842%205 W · 283 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65c4…3c1abacked Matias Soto41c1,356$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Juan Estevez42c1,279$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.822,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Juan Estevez48c1,251$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.781,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Matias Soto54c1,130$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61038652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Juan Estevez43c1,039$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.523945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Juan Estevez62c1,016$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.1344552.8%235 W · 210 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Juan Estevez62c1,016$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.1343054.9%236 W · 194 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Juan Estevez48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52052355.6%291 W · 232 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Juan Estevez75c979.34$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.834,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Juan Estevez44c939.96$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.381,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Matias Soto45c903.25$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.632,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Juan Estevez75c901.73$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.952,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Juan Estevez45c888.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.8943743.7%191 W · 246 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Juan Estevez61c871.64$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.3437421.9%82 W · 292 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Matias Soto35c866.96$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.038,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7f10backed Juan Estevez44c766.48$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.2810147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac9f…ff90backed Matias Soto52c746$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.021861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76cc…fbbcbacked Matias Soto58c727.95$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.2313427.6%37 W · 97 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Matias Soto62c708.32$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.054057.5%23 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6cd…acebbacked Juan Estevez65c700$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Matias Soto45c689.27$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31130235.4%107 W · 195 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Matias Soto54c685.76$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.465840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Juan Estevez44c685.74$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.3612369.9%86 W · 37 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Juan Estevez44c650$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.51,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Matias Soto25c627.32$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.837,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Matias Soto46c620.58$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.6424229.8%72 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e93…79f3backed Matias Soto55c614.39$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.5521257.5%122 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Juan Estevez45c611.31$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.487,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x890a…7623backed Juan Estevez75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15024975.5%188 W · 61 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Juan Estevez46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3247,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Juan Estevez43c580$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.64163.4%26 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3186…2a53backed Juan Estevez76c566.09$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.863265.6%21 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7e5…9256backed Matias Soto21c554.83$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3425448.4%123 W · 131 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Juan Estevez44c522.73$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.7343334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Matias Soto29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509751.5%50 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Juan Estevez62c511.19$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.953,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Matias Soto35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1754,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Juan Estevez47c500$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.852,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4702…5d04backed Matias Soto29c484.86$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.738937.1%33 W · 56 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Juan Estevez48c473.35$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.1462545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5b…7650backed Matias Soto61c460.88$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2819544.2%42 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Matias Soto55c423.64$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23345256.2%254 W · 198 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b33…6a2abacked Matias Soto51c422.35$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Juan Estevez63c411.9$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.141,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Matias Soto39c410.26$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16096035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Matias Soto50c400.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Juan Estevez43c397$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.297934.2%27 W · 52 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1651…470fbacked Juan Estevez76c383.85$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Matias Soto43c382.17$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.233,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Juan Estevez70c380.33$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.122056.4%124 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d99…9675backed Matias Soto43c375.22$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7815530.3%47 W · 108 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Matias Soto54c363.64$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.371,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Juan Estevez48c358.24$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.094,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Juan Estevez41c344$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0263746%293 W · 344 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Juan Estevez41c342.16$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.41,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Juan Estevez46c341.98$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.671,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Juan Estevez44c334.09$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.091,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Matias Soto23c326.32$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.781,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Matias Soto32c325.25$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.748,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Juan Estevez51c314.21$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.926,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Matias Soto31c309.5$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2159253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Juan Estevez47c300.4$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.213,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Matias Soto54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16253843.5%234 W · 304 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Juan Estevez47c300$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Juan Estevez65c293.23$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.352,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Juan Estevez60c285.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.041,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Matias Soto49c280.63$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8120565.4%134 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Matias Soto58c276.48$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16068157.6%392 W · 289 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Juan Estevez46c271.56$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9911162.2%69 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.