Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Bali 2 Men: Asahi Harazaki vs Hikaru Shiraishi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a5ba1f76850d747f7a6dd764a0a474d3d8fd408c16919daff5ed948aa9df050
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Asahi Harazakiof Asahi Harazaki, Hikaru Shiraishi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Asahi Harazaki | 75c | 11,980$8,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,027.24 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 26c | 4,587$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.85 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 20c | 3,760$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.7 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 73c | 1,698$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.86 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 34c | 1,479$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 25c | 1,443$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.04 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 30c | 988.36$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Asahi Harazaki | 66c | 870.84$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.25 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…9223backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 11c | 283.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Asahi Harazaki | 51c | 266.88$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.12 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 30c | 257.32$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Asahi Harazaki | 56c | 243.54$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.16 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 30c | 232.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 19c | 213.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 52c | 203$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Asahi Harazaki | 48c | 203$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 28c | 177.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 54c | 165.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Asahi Harazaki | 29c | 146.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.27 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…e9a5backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 29c | 106.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 51c | 97.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 33c | 95.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 20c | 85.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 65c | 84.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Asahi Harazaki | 71c | 59.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Asahi Harazaki | 72c | 58.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Asahi Harazaki | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…e147backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 27c | 43.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Asahi Harazaki | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…632abacked Asahi Harazaki | 48c | 32.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 61c | 30.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…d2dbbacked Hikaru Shiraishi | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Asahi Harazaki | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Hikaru Shiraishi | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Asahi Harazaki | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Asahi Harazaki | 65c | 19.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Asahi Harazaki | 79c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd7…1735backed Asahi Harazaki | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +15.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.