TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,956
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,956 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under29c7,000$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.971,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under25c4,479$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.761,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under41c3,646$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50021753.9%117 W · 100 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over73c3,097$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.291,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Over68c3,080$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.3141439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Under29c2,593$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.491,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed Over72c2,584$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.4639964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over73c2,204$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.0423948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed Over74c2,197$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.166858.8%40 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under29c2,053$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.449847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd12c…ed3dbacked Over71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58012649.2%62 W · 64 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over65c1,872$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.12,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Over71c1,753$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.3460855.8%339 W · 269 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Over43c1,709$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.648844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Under28c1,700$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48221946.6%102 W · 117 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3902,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdde3…0d07backed Over71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.453158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed Over71c1,225$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.3517947.5%85 W · 94 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under29c1,207$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3508342.2%35 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over48c1,052$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.2510237.3%38 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over40c1,027$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.942,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d9e…4cf7backed Over73c990.75$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1132…5a2fbacked Over71c938.03$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.032564%16 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f1…dcbebacked Under37c860.18$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Over71c834.07$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.8811446.5%53 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over75c804.23$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.341,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Over41c798.22$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.9519244.3%85 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Under59c741.15$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.7311659.5%69 W · 47 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under29c680$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.21,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over80c668.73$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.482,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over73c657.99$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3925342.7%108 W · 145 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Over71c623.94$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.9413960.4%84 W · 55 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over51c586.51$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.8122265.3%145 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Over71c583.63$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2543839.7%174 W · 264 L-24.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked Under28c528.04$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020739.1%81 W · 126 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over43c522.38$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.7637948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Under20c501.93$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5232755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under26c471$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.461,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under26c447.21$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4574637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over50c399.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.162,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Under33c376$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.082,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1165063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1651…470fbacked Over74c338.04$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.043560%21 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Over70c307.32$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.25851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Over71c301.01$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2920036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Over71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f5…1d29backed Over44c299$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.444445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed Over71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6944350.8%225 W · 218 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Over75c280$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7013551.9%70 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Over74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2716456.7%93 W · 71 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb24a…fd7ebacked Over75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.679260.9%56 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca07…6269backed Over73c250.06$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.516144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over71c250$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.53253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed Under27c249.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.522240.1%89 W · 133 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under29c236.47$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.982,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over75c217$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.131,46443.4%636 W · 828 L-32.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f9…cc6abacked Under28c214.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.176358.7%37 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Over71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.277353.4%39 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913d…02bfbacked Over71c208.45$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4518863.3%119 W · 69 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x824f…b105backed Over49c205.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Over74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5224649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507c…6c0cbacked Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506744.8%30 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under29c199.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5879745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under26c196.42$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.831,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ad…1538backed Over71c176.91$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.914944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffbf…1184backed Under30c150.28$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4528759.9%172 W · 115 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Under28c145$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.618555.1%102 W · 83 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e8…5289backed Over71c141.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9315759.2%93 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.853560%21 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3340365%262 W · 141 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…3a30backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3315857.6%91 W · 67 L+0.7wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91bc…28d6backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3320957.4%120 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3340645.6%185 W · 221 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe200…5886backed Over75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3323752.7%125 W · 112 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over51c131.69$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0519553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Over70c129.91$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.971,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8763458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8710253.9%55 W · 47 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over60c127$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9812454%67 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over41c120$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.824235.5%86 W · 156 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed Over75c115.31$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8316253.7%87 W · 75 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b2…0ab9backed Over41c114.63$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.635438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Over45c111.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.453246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under37c109.82$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6343442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f7…60cfbacked Over51c108.78$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.315650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over79c107$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.981,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb654…7be3backed Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x582e…0f92backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b98…d011backed Under42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425345.3%24 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed Over41c99.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over75c94.48$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.622,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce6…f60abacked Over71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04d9…fa77backed Over56c80.35$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.367139.4%28 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94c0…a805backed Under54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438657%49 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Over73c70.52$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.04977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Over71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4284360.1%507 W · 336 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Over71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.422650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd869…4c75backed Over71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.421656.3%9 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Over44c68.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.364746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over71c67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.431861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.