TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
KT Rolsterof Dplus KIA, KT Rolster
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,623 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x86e9…4cdfbacked KT Rolster75c3,500$2,622 inWon+$8781931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Dplus KIA24c1,500$364 inLost-$3642,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Dplus KIA26c707.69$184 inLost-$18423849.2%117 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Dplus KIA26c692.3$180 inLost-$18014243.7%62 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Dplus KIA25c540$135 inLost-$13532253.1%171 W · 151 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked KT Rolster69c187.69$129 inWon+$58.2678050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked Dplus KIA57c175.96$100 inLost-$10016647%78 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3600…f72bbacked Dplus KIA31c161.29$50 inLost-$5017048.8%83 W · 87 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed KT Rolster43c145.96$63 inWon+$83.237948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…60cfbacked KT Rolster46c99.99$46 inWon+$53.535650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Dplus KIA45c99.39$45 inLost-$44.611,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3570…35ddbacked Dplus KIA58c84.62$49 inLost-$493650%18 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Dplus KIA25c60$15 inLost-$1574637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked KT Rolster62c58$36 inWon+$21.946051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24f5…98d2backed KT Rolster53c57$30 inWon+$26.9210150.5%51 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked KT Rolster42c49.08$21 inWon+$28.4748844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked KT Rolster49c47.39$23 inWon+$24.1722265.3%145 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb23d…8ba5backed KT Rolster50c40.16$20 inWon+$20.163644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a41…20bdbacked Dplus KIA52c38.75$20 inLost-$204957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Dplus KIA50c22.8$11 inLost-$11.41,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Dplus KIA50c22.16$11 inLost-$11.081,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Dplus KIA63c22$14 inLost-$13.8475150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf4c…d171backed Dplus KIA58c20.69$12 inLost-$126149.2%30 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0193…6db1backed Dplus KIA51c19.58$10 inLost-$103066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed KT Rolster69c16.52$11 inWon+$5.1219351.3%99 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.