TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3570…35dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+60%+$155.9
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Gen.G (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+192.6%+$115.54
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Karmine Corp win the EWC League of Legends Tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$47.09
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Will Bilibili Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$93
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Bilibili Gaming qualify to MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.69
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.25
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+172.2%+$230.81
Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$24.3
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.20per pick27cpaid+53.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.06
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+491.7%+$196.69
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$48.27
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+159.2%+$264.33
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+207%+$134.54
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$421
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$28.29
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.81
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.