Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabf87f10c94cd314b3bf558aa3ef774edd9beb4075d6a0ee2b15838641c29572
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 58c | 10,031$5,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,213.78 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Over | 42c | 6,221$2,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 42c | 4,064$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.54 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 57c | 1,759$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.01 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…26cebacked Over | 42c | 1,536$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.13 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Over | 42c | 1,248$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.03 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Over | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8407…4589backed Over | 42c | 758.54$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 45c | 555$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 42c | 514.29$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 52.8%151 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Under | 55c | 203.45$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.55 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Over | 42c | 181.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Over | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Over | 45c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Under | 59c | 134.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 266 | 39.5%105 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 57c | 88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 57c | 83.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Over | 45c | 59.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…19ccbacked Under | 60c | 35.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 58c | 29.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 40c | 26.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)KT Rolster won
- Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)KT Rolster won
- Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIKT Rolster won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 WinnerKT Rolster won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 WinnerKT Rolster won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.