TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,636
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,636 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under67c7,000$4,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,689.991,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over33c5,007$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,354.698143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Over33c2,459$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.491,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Under67c2,300$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.91,49054.6%813 W · 677 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed Under69c2,106$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.36237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over33c1,520$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.5321844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7673…fa40backed Over33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.154143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under67c1,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.981,79251.1%916 W · 876 L+50.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Over33c1,421$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.945851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over34c1,323$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.181,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c1,275$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.082,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over31c1,090$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.0941343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under67c1,059$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.5749847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Under66c931.54$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.8296048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over32c800.3$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.1622748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Under73c618.65$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.8822165.6%145 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Over33c533.08$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.161,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under67c530.15$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.28342.2%35 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under53c529$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.141,92335.9%690 W · 1,233 L-98.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over19c526.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.3110237.3%38 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2776…2886backed Over30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under67c457.27$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.372,15253.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L+58.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over33c451.5$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.5152848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over29c416.91$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.052,18733.3%729 W · 1,458 L-71.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Over33c415.88$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.6441439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Under49c409$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Under67c372.01$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.2549461.3%303 W · 191 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under61c346$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.062,30339.4%907 W · 1,396 L-82.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over33c325.76$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.2654429.6%161 W · 383 L-35.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Under68c310.36$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21063458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0585…57dbbacked Over34c287.41$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under67c269.7$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.562,92344.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L-91.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over34c250$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16574637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Under67c225.19$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca3…f137backed Under69c210.57$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under67c198.51$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13379745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Under46c176.88$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9957349.4%283 W · 290 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Over32c159.69$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.0132555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under45c154.69$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4840031.3%125 W · 275 L-28.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under68c129.45$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5734357.1%196 W · 147 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0786…df1dbacked Under72c120$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.99057.8%52 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…60cfbacked Over38c116.12$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.555650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Over34c102.01$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.331,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Under80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8042055.2%232 W · 188 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Over34c99.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Over34c99.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.997353.4%39 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over22c88.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.471,45943.3%632 W · 827 L-33.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91bc…28d6backed Over34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2420957.4%120 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Over34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2476047%357 W · 403 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over24c86.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.721,95230.6%597 W · 1,355 L-166.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Under68c77.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3432755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over38c72$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.431,60517.5%281 W · 1,324 L-244.2wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Under17c61.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2917432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed Over33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6148438%184 W · 300 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Under67c53.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1718560.5%112 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Under66c50$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Over21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.512040%48 W · 72 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over34c45.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.786826.5%18 W · 50 L-10.4wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-46.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Over34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.122650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce6…f60abacked Over34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.12771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc597…c695backed Over34c43.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.85560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Under70c42.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011258%65 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Under80c40$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3219340.4%78 W · 115 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over30c36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.213142.7%56 W · 75 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over34c35.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.082,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cf7…1958backed Over32c35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.84951%25 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x310b…19ccbacked Over43c34.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.514553.3%24 W · 21 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7752…8681backed Under66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019063.7%121 W · 69 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Under66c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.879345.4%360 W · 433 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under67c26.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9545044.7%201 W · 249 L-29.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under67c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7537650%188 W · 188 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9c…8927backed Under67c22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.742552%13 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1812…c143backed Under68c18.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.469558.9%56 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed Under67c18.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.266152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.