Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Svajda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a99015e5d0696d97b217761a60d61c1aa23898bcee6688d5ce2a39a0b9c1809
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cobolliof Cobolli, Svajda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Svajda | 12c | 2,908$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.37 | 308 | 27.6%85 W · 223 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Cobolli | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27fa…d8c4backed Svajda | 25c | 357.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 139 | 28.1%39 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Cobolli | 76c | 261.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…2c38backed Cobolli | 75c | 250$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6e…542dbacked Cobolli | 79c | 227.97$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Svajda | 21c | 217.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Cobolli | 75c | 180$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Svajda | 26c | 179.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Svajda | 24c | 139.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Svajda | 24c | 135.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Cobolli | 74c | 115.77$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Cobolli | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Svajda | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Cobolli | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Cobolli | 75c | 38.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Cobolli | 73c | 37.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…c54bbacked Cobolli | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…20c6backed Cobolli | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Cobolli | 76c | 23.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 347 | 48.1%167 W · 180 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Cobolli | 74c | 16.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Svajdathis page
- Cobolli vs. Svajda: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Cobolli vs. Svajda: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Cobolli vs. Svajda: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Zachary Svajda: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Zachary Svajda: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary SvajdaFlavio Cobolli won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Svajda (+1.5)Cobolli won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)Svajda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.