Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Svajda (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60e173a4942a0afbd093ed6a2cc157fc728231c35e91b85af38f71a957b153db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cobolliof Cobolli, Svajda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd40d…a926backed Svajda | 26c | 9,354$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.1 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Cobolli | 50c | 2,962$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.42 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +36.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Cobolli | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 590 | 65.4%386 W · 204 L | -16.3wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Svajda | 50c | 2,683$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.71 | 623 | 45.4%283 W · 340 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Cobolli | 74c | 2,682$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.43 | 1,257 | 56.6%711 W · 546 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…499cbacked Cobolli | 76c | 1,883$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.49 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cobolli | 74c | 946$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.96 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Svajda | 23c | 896.86$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.28 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Cobolli | 74c | 638.11$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.91 | 2,144 | 54.2%1,162 W · 982 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Cobolli | 74c | 637.67$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.79 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Cobolli | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Svajda | 24c | 328.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Svajda | 24c | 308.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Svajda | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Svajda | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Svajda | 24c | 240$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Svajda | 49c | 230$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.25 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Cobolli | 74c | 222.01$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ea…e966backed Svajda | 38c | 189.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Cobolli | 73c | 186.48$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d814backed Cobolli | 76c | 161.7$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 405 | 54.1%219 W · 186 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Svajda | 27c | 154.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 154 | 40.9%63 W · 91 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850d…a05dbacked Cobolli | 74c | 134.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Cobolli | 75c | 133.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Cobolli | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 93 | 74.2%69 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f4…a47fbacked Cobolli | 74c | 117.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc88…87adbacked Cobolli | 74c | 112.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…1184backed Svajda | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 81 | 18.5%15 W · 66 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Cobolli | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Cobolli | 74c | 75.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 347 | 48.1%167 W · 180 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Cobolli | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…8a64backed Cobolli | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdecb…e058backed Cobolli | 74c | 49.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Cobolli | 74c | 41.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6e…6dc3backed Cobolli | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Cobolli | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d40…b4ecbacked Cobolli | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Svajda | 49c | 26.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Cobolli | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Cobolli | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Cobolli | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x244f…03a7backed Cobolli | 76c | 16.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace8…d3c9backed Cobolli | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Svajda (+1.5)this page
- Cobolli vs. Svajda: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Cobolli vs. Svajda: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Cobolli vs. Svajda: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Zachary Svajda: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Zachary Svajda: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary SvajdaFlavio Cobolli won
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs SvajdaCobolli won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)Svajda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.