TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Svajdaof Cobolli, Svajda
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,691
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,186

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,691 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Cobolli53c45,560$24,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,25036346.8%170 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Svajda46c15,154$6,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,182.934,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Svajda46c14,168$6,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,6262231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd40d…a926backed Svajda50c12,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0002133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Cobolli54c3,511$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9009764.9%63 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Svajda20c2,875$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,296.4830827.6%85 W · 223 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Svajda45c2,492$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.771,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Svajda47c2,168$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.8458745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Svajda48c2,029$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.232735.5%116 W · 211 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc60b…d9f7backed Cobolli50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00035439.8%141 W · 213 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Cobolli51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00060053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Svajda47c1,719$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.1642341.4%175 W · 248 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ae…c975backed Cobolli53c1,698$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90021537.2%80 W · 135 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Svajda48c1,537$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.241,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Svajda47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79538446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3bd…6dddbacked Svajda46c1,480$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.084047.5%19 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Cobolli79c1,385$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.921,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Cobolli74c1,124$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.7536657.7%211 W · 155 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Svajda47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8348842%205 W · 283 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Svajda47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8343743.7%191 W · 246 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Cobolli50c1,061$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.3121448.1%103 W · 111 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Svajda48c1,029$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.7857842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Cobolli50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50070041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe49a…ff17backed Cobolli53c945.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Svajda46c874$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.687,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Svajda26c854.19$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.1683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+81.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Cobolli77c853.92$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.982,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Svajda47c761.77$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.97,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Cobolli53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005064%32 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Cobolli50c712$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35635755.5%198 W · 159 L+0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Cobolli53c705.59$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3755250%26 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Svajda46c646.65$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.1995140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Svajda47c594.89$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.7947854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Svajda19c515.79$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.7913928.1%39 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x914a…920fbacked Cobolli50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504843.8%21 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cobolli59c487.81$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.889,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Svajda47c466.51$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.2512147.1%57 W · 64 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Cobolli55c446.42$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.285756.1%32 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Svajda42c424.5$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.2173748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Cobolli50c406.09$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.055761.4%35 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Cobolli53c405$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.4454450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb72…2d66backed Svajda30c399.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.992231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Svajda51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1654348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa070…c103backed Cobolli74c391.89$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2906051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Svajda47c347$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9147552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Cobolli63c343.75$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2154,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Svajda46c295.14$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3826849.3%132 W · 136 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8e4…53bbbacked Cobolli54c279.52$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Svajda21c275.92$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.229631.3%30 W · 66 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Svajda42c267$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.8615754.8%86 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Svajda48c266.3$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.887,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Cobolli54c241.58$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1308150.6%41 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed Svajda47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.779260.9%56 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…9dbabacked Svajda47c208.85$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.694365.1%28 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Svajda50c205$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.521937.9%83 W · 136 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Svajda48c204.17$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1758931.1%183 W · 406 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Svajda48c203.16$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6462952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2842…fb48backed Cobolli65c200.06$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0421159.7%126 W · 85 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Cobolli50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058045.9%266 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Cobolli50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011946.2%55 W · 64 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Cobolli52c192.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014060.7%85 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0a2…8613backed Cobolli55c182.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.916550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Svajda47c162$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8649151.7%254 W · 237 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59fc…5054backed Svajda48c160.04$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.223020%6 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-58.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Svajda32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.251,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed Svajda50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7541644.5%185 W · 231 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Cobolli74c135.67$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.71,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc78d…0bbdbacked Svajda47c130.43$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.134926.5%13 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Svajda49c110$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.11,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab3…d47cbacked Cobolli64c108.63$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2211143.2%48 W · 63 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Svajda49c102.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.569050%45 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92e6…8222backed Svajda72c100.81$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.413759.5%22 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Svajda46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a7…c94bbacked Cobolli54c98.65$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Svajda47c95$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.31,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45ea…e966backed Svajda43c85$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.752045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Svajda49c84.9$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.262,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b89…5e10backed Svajda30c84.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.17650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+81.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Svajda47c80.02$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8183447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Svajda46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.238741.1%159 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Cobolli52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.612250.8%62 W · 60 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Svajda46c73.03$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.449350.5%47 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba0…1803backed Cobolli55c68.29$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.563066.7%20 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaff1…1c4ebacked Cobolli75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Svajda46c65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.16443.8%28 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c7c…1439backed Svajda46c62.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.632920.7%6 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Svajda48c61.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.216129.5%18 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Svajda47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.892138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Cobolli50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015837.3%59 W · 99 L-19.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaf75…262fbacked Svajda51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.82666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d40…b4ecbacked Cobolli52c55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.713546.7%63 W · 72 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Cobolli51c54.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Cobolli52c54.13$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1513444%59 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Svajda50c52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2610348.5%50 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdecb…e058backed Cobolli50c50.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.335759.6%34 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Svajda47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.53751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Svajda49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Cobolli51c48.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2581933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0215…c501backed Svajda48c45.68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.68862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.23per pick39cpaid+66.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Svajda51c45.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.152661.2%322 W · 204 L+1.8wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.