Tennis · resolved market
Flavio Cobolli vs. Zachary Svajda: Total Sets O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa85abab80dd32db5f4fedb358d034ac358795b238a404c1fd98ebe7df05d4520
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under 3.5 | 52c | 1,234$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.75 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.5 | 52c | 991$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.61 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over 3.5 | 48c | 966.67$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.67 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Over 3.5 | 48c | 406.29$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.27 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over 3.5 | 48c | 301.88$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.98 | 860 | 50.1%431 W · 429 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under 3.5 | 52c | 232.55$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.18 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Over 3.5 | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over 3.5 | 48c | 206.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.22 | 325 | 54.2%176 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Over 3.5 | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under 3.5 | 61c | 153.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked Over 3.5 | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under 3.5 | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under 3.5 | 53c | 111.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff1…1c4ebacked Over 3.5 | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…f8ddbacked Over 3.5 | 47c | 105.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…ab90backed Over 3.5 | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…780ebacked Over 3.5 | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Over 3.5 | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 223 | 59.6%133 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under 3.5 | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under 3.5 | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 365 | 40.8%149 W · 216 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over 3.5 | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…c5f4backed Under 3.5 | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under 3.5 | 53c | 75.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under 3.5 | 52c | 58.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc457…c88fbacked Under 3.5 | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ea…e966backed Over 3.5 | 45c | 52.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under 3.5 | 65c | 52.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Over 3.5 | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 357 | 53.8%192 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d47ebacked Over 3.5 | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Under 3.5 | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44be…76b1backed Over 3.5 | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under 3.5 | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…221dbacked Over 3.5 | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…3fbabacked Over 3.5 | 48c | 44.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…ecebbacked Over 3.5 | 47c | 42.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Over 3.5 | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 394 | 69%272 W · 122 L | +27.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcac0…bdb6backed Over 3.5 | 75c | 40.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Under 3.5 | 55c | 32.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Over 3.5 | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under 3.5 | 52c | 31.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 837 | 47.6%398 W · 439 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a24…a0fdbacked Over 3.5 | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under 3.5 | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…ffd9backed Over 3.5 | 45c | 28.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under 3.5 | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Zachary Svajda: Total Sets O/U 3.5this page
- Cobolli vs. Svajda: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Cobolli vs. Svajda: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Cobolli vs. Svajda: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Flavio Cobolli vs. Zachary Svajda: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary SvajdaFlavio Cobolli won
- Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs SvajdaCobolli won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Svajda (+1.5)Cobolli won
- Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)Svajda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.