TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$658,086
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$651,983

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $658,086 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs56c227,580$127,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127,464.8464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Knicks44c212,000$93,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118,984.3472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Spurs56c144,211$80,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,744.1669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Knicks44c124,453$54,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,693.958439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Knicks44c47,319$20,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,498.6135744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs56c20,000$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,20025352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Spurs60c18,317$10,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,954.9312652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs57c17,544$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00063746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks45c13,526$6,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,478.271,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Knicks44c12,478$5,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,987.933740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…8daebacked Knicks45c12,463$5,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,854.84633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks44c12,316$5,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,896.891,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee54…60e2backed Knicks44c10,957$4,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,135.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs28c10,029$2,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,835.198,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe467…d3ebbacked Knicks44c8,413$3,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,711.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Knicks44c8,182$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,581.824042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0de…8048backed Spurs56c7,836$4,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3885240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs52c6,233$3,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,222.555251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Knicks44c6,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,36079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs56c5,697$3,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,183.814,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Spurs57c4,599$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs57c4,386$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50090650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…5102backed Spurs56c4,286$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Knicks44c4,207$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.665657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Spurs56c4,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa511…18a3backed Spurs73c4,000$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,920837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick66cpaid-46.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80028056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs61c3,691$2,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,246.41,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks38c3,502$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,168.871,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Knicks63c3,224$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.8230551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs54c2,996$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.972,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Spurs56c2,991$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.856243.5%27 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs56c2,649$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.461,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x665c…1583backed Spurs56c2,636$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.25616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks32c2,536$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.881,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ef…b630backed Spurs2c2,483$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.662615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs56c2,419$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.646,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb464…3b89backed Spurs56c2,288$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.461127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c4e…3d91backed Spurs56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.055050%25 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Knicks44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.9958740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Spurs56c2,000$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.2943438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Spurs55c2,000$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.6186641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks45c1,973$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.0752150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Spurs51c1,955$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.4710049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4505…d7fdbacked Spurs56c1,864$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.0850%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8c6…de1bbacked Spurs54c1,836$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Knicks45c1,815$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.211738.5%45 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Spurs47c1,739$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.646141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc97b…879dbacked Spurs56c1,710$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.381526.7%4 W · 11 L-5.2wins-0.34per pick61cpaid-61.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdfd8…65f3backed Spurs56c1,685$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x02a6…3463backed Spurs49c1,609$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.612934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Knicks45c1,409$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.658848.9%43 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks41c1,304$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.271,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Knicks44c1,300$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72812146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs32c1,273$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.942842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Knicks45c1,233$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.3321957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Spurs35c1,210$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.0389444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Knicks45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5503878.9%30 W · 8 L+13.2wins+0.35per pick44cpaid+73.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Spurs3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Spurs52c999.99$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9962948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Spurs56c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9973649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca4…db18backed Spurs42c981.64$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs57c979.12$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.4152861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Spurs56c906.95$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.3936051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed Spurs56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Spurs56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Knicks45c824.27$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.351060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Knicks43c787$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.2193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks49c734.94$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.312,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Spurs56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40027745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks55c704.52$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.8119246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Spurs56c696.02$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.7735942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Spurs56c665.99$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.9516251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79aa…1168backed Spurs56c621.75$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.18650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Spurs18c612$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.162,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Spurs56c598.16$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9712451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Knicks44c570.8$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6565939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs73c546.04$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92c4…ffc4backed Spurs56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36e6…ad16backed Spurs67c522.39$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Spurs56c501$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.5634850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Spurs56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2809950.5%50 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb283…2744backed Spurs56c483$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs26c466.64$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.811,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Knicks65c464.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.755446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Spurs57c458.24$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.546959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Spurs57c448.19$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.4711446.5%53 W · 61 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Knicks45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.442748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Knicks44c441.14$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.0425651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4082…ce4bbacked Spurs56c437.75$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.14520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-74.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc908…2f61backed Spurs72c418.63$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002055%11 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x867a…1bb1backed Spurs56c405.59$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.131323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Spurs56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e1f…7828backed Spurs56c392.86$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-45.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Spurs54c373.05$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.581,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Knicks44c359$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.041643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Spurs56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa06f…cbadbacked Spurs56c350$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1963773%27 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Spurs56c349.04$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.466544.6%29 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Spurs56c339.29$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19019951.8%103 W · 96 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.