TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Elias Ymer

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sho Shimabukuroof Sho Shimabukuro, Elias Ymer
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,946
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,946 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Elias Ymer20c8,639$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,770.189,16136.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L-202.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sho Shimabukuro70c6,867$4,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,069.218,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd849…6ac7backed Elias Ymer48c6,404$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,101.359962.6%62 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Sho Shimabukuro55c3,796$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720.171,22953.1%653 W · 576 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x78cc…a081backed Elias Ymer6c3,576$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.363221.9%7 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Elias Ymer45c2,879$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.5657842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Elias Ymer4c2,210$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.756,79836.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Elias Ymer23c2,154$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.2311,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Elias Ymer49c2,100$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.9969644.5%310 W · 386 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Sho Shimabukuro52c1,827$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.921,88944.8%846 W · 1,043 L+36.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Elias Ymer27c1,815$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.862,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Elias Ymer47c1,806$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.761,05450.2%529 W · 525 L+38.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Elias Ymer4c1,734$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.483,73145.3%1,690 W · 2,041 L-3.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Sho Shimabukuro66c1,543$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.5185348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Sho Shimabukuro66c1,543$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.5165952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Elias Ymer8c1,305$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3742125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Elias Ymer47c1,273$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.531,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Elias Ymer49c1,088$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53362645.4%284 W · 342 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Elias Ymer47c999.98$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Sho Shimabukuro52c961.53$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.531,88745.8%864 W · 1,023 L+52.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Sho Shimabukuro77c950.62$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.764,62667.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L+310.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Sho Shimabukuro53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.41,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Sho Shimabukuro50c797.72$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.952,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Sho Shimabukuro71c764.56$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.721,10660.2%666 W · 440 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Elias Ymer21c693.31$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.431,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Elias Ymer28c624.14$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0921641.7%90 W · 126 L-0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf5…31f9backed Sho Shimabukuro55c556.14$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.245850%29 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ce…590abacked Sho Shimabukuro52c545.69$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.936041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Sho Shimabukuro51c519.56$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.3516552.7%87 W · 78 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Sho Shimabukuro51c490$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.17,77447.8%3,715 W · 4,059 L+40.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Elias Ymer35c484$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.44,99238.6%1,927 W · 3,065 L-19.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Sho Shimabukuro52c459.66$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.627,20149.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L+114.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Sho Shimabukuro53c443.87$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.621,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf8…75e4backed Elias Ymer49c415.15$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9919343.5%84 W · 109 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Sho Shimabukuro71c409.21$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.671,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7906…be5dbacked Elias Ymer52c404.99$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.649058.9%53 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a24…a0fdbacked Sho Shimabukuro54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18413838.4%53 W · 85 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Sho Shimabukuro54c363.64$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.171,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Sho Shimabukuro55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6419052.6%100 W · 90 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Elias Ymer48c357.57$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.6347552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Sho Shimabukuro52c354.99$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8358745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Sho Shimabukuro52c352.89$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7291755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Elias Ymer45c326.14$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.567,12939.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L-14.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Sho Shimabukuro52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14423247%109 W · 123 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Sho Shimabukuro51c295.92$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1456464.1%41 W · 23 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Elias Ymer4c294.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.141,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Elias Ymer47c255.64$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1565950.5%333 W · 326 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Sho Shimabukuro52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.257953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Sho Shimabukuro55c236.36$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.361,57939.8%629 W · 950 L-34.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Elias Ymer15c222.27$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.499244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Elias Ymer18c219$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.51,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Elias Ymer46c217.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005,35228.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L-21.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Sho Shimabukuro55c212.87$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7952557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Elias Ymer48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Sho Shimabukuro52c205.95$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.892,28642.9%980 W · 1,306 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Elias Ymer49c200$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971,54249.2%759 W · 783 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Sho Shimabukuro53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9491350.2%458 W · 455 L-21.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Sho Shimabukuro52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9633155.6%184 W · 147 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Sho Shimabukuro51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0890654.6%495 W · 411 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Sho Shimabukuro52c170$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.61,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Sho Shimabukuro52c169.53$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.431,09152.5%573 W · 518 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Elias Ymer22c165.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.271,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Sho Shimabukuro52c145.31$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7569051.2%353 W · 337 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Sho Shimabukuro71c138.56$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.561,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9121…bd6cbacked Sho Shimabukuro56c131$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.756953.6%37 W · 32 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Sho Shimabukuro77c120.02$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0392138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Sho Shimabukuro51c120$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.847854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x441f…8954backed Elias Ymer30c115.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352114.3%3 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-54.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Elias Ymer20c110.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.981,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Sho Shimabukuro53c107.6$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5750340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Sho Shimabukuro52c103.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9199649.5%493 W · 503 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Sho Shimabukuro52c101.98$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9598255.4%544 W · 438 L+3.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Elias Ymer45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515646.8%73 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Sho Shimabukuro52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4838947.3%184 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fab…f47bbacked Elias Ymer47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472714.8%4 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-63.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Elias Ymer47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.681,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Sho Shimabukuro51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0496755.9%541 W · 426 L+21.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Elias Ymer48c98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0482355.2%454 W · 369 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Elias Ymer26c95.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.081,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Elias Ymer36c81.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.244949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3afb…0004backed Elias Ymer52c79.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.594139%16 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x424c…82b5backed Elias Ymer48c79$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.928555.3%47 W · 38 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Elias Ymer48c78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4450951.3%261 W · 248 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Sho Shimabukuro53c76.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.773,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c22…0a8cbacked Elias Ymer32c75.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3546640.6%189 W · 277 L-36.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Elias Ymer48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Elias Ymer48c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Elias Ymer30c72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.680153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Sho Shimabukuro49c71.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9799356%556 W · 437 L+33.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Elias Ymer47c68.09$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322,17937%807 W · 1,372 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Sho Shimabukuro51c67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8373748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd654…0a18backed Sho Shimabukuro53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.041442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Elias Ymer48c64.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8118038.3%69 W · 111 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Elias Ymer47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Elias Ymer24c63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.856,64946.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L-38.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Sho Shimabukuro52c59.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.890164.4%580 W · 321 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Elias Ymer46c57.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4185637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Sho Shimabukuro49c57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2886947.9%416 W · 453 L+31.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Sho Shimabukuro74c56.74$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.646,86748.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L+61.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Elias Ymer46c55.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.441,02257.8%591 W · 431 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.