TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$152,944
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,743

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,944 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed 100 Thieves48c33,605$15,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,642.6224145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked NRG53c19,035$9,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,997.312155.4%67 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked 100 Thieves63c5,649$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.8126650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed NRG31c3,537$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.7840945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG19c3,422$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.871,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed NRG52c2,688$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.9551749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked NRG55c2,559$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4005451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed 100 Thieves46c2,263$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.6214938.3%57 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…03a6backed 100 Thieves42c1,841$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.661936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed NRG28c1,489$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.7240944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked NRG47c1,449$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.831145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+52.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed NRG7c1,443$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NRG52c1,433$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.7568458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed NRG40c1,276$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.453159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves69c1,146$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.1293148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG59c1,044$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.011,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed NRG17c934.03$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3360022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NRG54c913.01$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.3894361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked NRG32c879.98$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.241,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG39c856.19$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.811,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed NRG54c845.32$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.0246347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NRG19c823.56$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4288844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed NRG15c812.2$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8356551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked NRG28c765.7$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.7923644.5%105 W · 131 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed NRG40c706.23$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.0141835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe767…9107backed NRG53c695.96$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.736755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed NRG24c684.65$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3262156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked NRG47c671.57$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.541,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed NRG15c641.05$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6130147.2%142 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NRG37c562.05$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.4181134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x169a…f719backed 100 Thieves76c549.98$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.991250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a28…ff8cbacked 100 Thieves30c537.3$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.363250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG55c516$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.811,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked NRG52c512$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.247338.4%28 W · 45 L-10.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed NRG48c510.01$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.8133346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed NRG53c500.11$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.2223836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed NRG59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29525555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed NRG54c500$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26853442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed NRG59c477.76$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.883450%17 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed NRG47c449.17$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.937540%30 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked NRG33c430.44$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8738950.6%197 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f2…21febacked 100 Thieves46c425.87$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.87771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+74.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed NRG47c411.32$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.699551.6%49 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x260f…6980backed NRG12c411.13$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.65532.7%18 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x738b…7579backed NRG73c410.25$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002763%17 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb379…0d76backed NRG20c400.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed NRG50c394.91$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.041,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked NRG24c389$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.366048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed 100 Thieves43c382.9$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.2518049.4%89 W · 91 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked 100 Thieves38c367.14$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.0670043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed NRG32c352.01$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.869838.8%38 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a41…20bdbacked 100 Thieves31c326.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.5212250%61 W · 61 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked NRG15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454932.7%16 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed NRG36c277.8$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1256357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked NRG46c270$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9696245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked NRG36c260.72$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.877744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed NRG4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010217.6%18 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed NRG52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13013446.3%62 W · 72 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked NRG27c234.96$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1768949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed NRG30c233.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked 100 Thieves33c226.03$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4210628.3%30 W · 76 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked NRG57c223.22$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2616347.2%77 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves78c221.99$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.841,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6bf…05b6backed 100 Thieves47c208.4$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.831729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed 100 Thieves47c205.79$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.076848.5%33 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed NRG15c202.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026354.4%143 W · 120 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked NRG29c200$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3527850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7251…4a60backed NRG21c192.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed NRG51c189.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3844342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25d5…11fcbacked NRG53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006050%30 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff95…859cbacked NRG54c177.4$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.812056.7%68 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed NRG23c176.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed NRG52c170.83$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.474843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked NRG14c170$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.83638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked NRG44c169.26$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9331153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed NRG35c169.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014443.1%62 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked NRG44c167.31$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3590733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed 100 Thieves45c158.96$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9636145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a9b…59eabacked NRG64c155.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed NRG41c129$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0874642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed NRG53c126.64$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5826447.3%125 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcda…5e95backed 100 Thieves40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7511457%65 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed NRG55c121.1$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6621859.2%129 W · 89 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves57c119.83$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3665559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47e6…aea9backed NRG47c118.52$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.62661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked NRG56c118.47$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4934954.7%191 W · 158 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e51…2412backed NRG26c114.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307745.5%35 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked NRG52c110.92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6884838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked NRG34c110.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.96432.8%21 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a6…3024backed NRG50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.41172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked NRG42c109.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3925141.4%104 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8058…4cc3backed NRG51c108.55$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558552.9%45 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1ec…64b6backed 100 Thieves44c103.75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.756028.3%17 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed 100 Thieves48c102.08$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0815255.9%85 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1ecbbacked NRG33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.53540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b2…70f0backed NRG32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327020%14 W · 56 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked 100 Thieves46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x696a…823bbacked NRG72c96.18$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692065%13 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked NRG39c94.87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf4d…a9f3backed 100 Thieves65c92.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.