Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaa69caa9222fb50c9d81367f2358bba25b899d6bab508e54ac3314f1bdba502
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 33,605$15,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,642.62 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked NRG | 53c | 19,035$9,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,997.3 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 5,649$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.81 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NRG | 31c | 3,537$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.78 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG | 19c | 3,422$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.87 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NRG | 52c | 2,688$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.95 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked NRG | 55c | 2,559$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 2,263$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.62 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 1,841$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.66 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed NRG | 28c | 1,489$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.72 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked NRG | 47c | 1,449$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed NRG | 7c | 1,443$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 52c | 1,433$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.75 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed NRG | 40c | 1,276$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.4 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 1,146$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.12 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG | 59c | 1,044$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.01 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed NRG | 17c | 934.03$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.33 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NRG | 54c | 913.01$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.38 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NRG | 32c | 879.98$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.24 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NRG | 39c | 856.19$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.81 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed NRG | 54c | 845.32$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.02 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NRG | 19c | 823.56$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.42 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed NRG | 15c | 812.2$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.83 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked NRG | 28c | 765.7$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.79 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed NRG | 40c | 706.23$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.01 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe767…9107backed NRG | 53c | 695.96$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.73 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed NRG | 24c | 684.65$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.32 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NRG | 47c | 671.57$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.54 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed NRG | 15c | 641.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NRG | 37c | 562.05$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.41 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…f719backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 549.98$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…ff8cbacked 100 Thieves | 30c | 537.3$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.36 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG | 55c | 516$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.81 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked NRG | 52c | 512$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.24 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed NRG | 48c | 510.01$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.81 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed NRG | 53c | 500.11$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.22 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed NRG | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed NRG | 54c | 500$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed NRG | 59c | 477.76$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.88 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed NRG | 47c | 449.17$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.93 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked NRG | 33c | 430.44$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.87 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f2…21febacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 425.87$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed NRG | 47c | 411.32$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.69 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260f…6980backed NRG | 12c | 411.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…7579backed NRG | 73c | 410.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…0d76backed NRG | 20c | 400.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NRG | 50c | 394.91$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.04 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked NRG | 24c | 389$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.36 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 382.9$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.25 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 367.14$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.06 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed NRG | 32c | 352.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.86 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…20bdbacked 100 Thieves | 31c | 326.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.52 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked NRG | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed NRG | 36c | 277.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NRG | 46c | 270$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NRG | 36c | 260.72$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed NRG | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 17.6%18 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed NRG | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked NRG | 27c | 234.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed NRG | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked 100 Thieves | 33c | 226.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.42 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked NRG | 57c | 223.22$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.26 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 78c | 221.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…05b6backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 208.4$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.83 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…74c2backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 205.79$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.07 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed NRG | 15c | 202.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked NRG | 29c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7251…4a60backed NRG | 21c | 192.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed NRG | 51c | 189.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked NRG | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…859cbacked NRG | 54c | 177.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed NRG | 23c | 176.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed NRG | 52c | 170.83$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked NRG | 14c | 170$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked NRG | 44c | 169.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35ae…b929backed NRG | 35c | 169.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NRG | 44c | 167.31$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 158.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.96 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…59eabacked NRG | 64c | 155.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NRG | 41c | 129$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed NRG | 53c | 126.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…5e95backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed NRG | 55c | 121.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 119.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…aea9backed NRG | 47c | 118.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked NRG | 56c | 118.47$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…2412backed NRG | 26c | 114.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NRG | 52c | 110.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked NRG | 34c | 110.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…3024backed NRG | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked NRG | 42c | 109.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed NRG | 51c | 108.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…64b6backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 103.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1ecbbacked NRG | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed NRG | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…823bbacked NRG | 72c | 96.18$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked NRG | 39c | 94.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…a9f3backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 92.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 3 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 4 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.