Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07eff546a4ade0b609c49560f69b7ef464e05720a7e086dec59e523556d8848b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…e406backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 47,419$24,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,376.27 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed NRG | 49c | 38,737$18,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,977.84 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 10,000$5,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,833.11 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked NRG | 47c | 9,367$4,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,426.12 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed NRG | 48c | 4,242$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.07 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked NRG | 35c | 3,987$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.84 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed NRG | 49c | 3,777$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.9 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 3,771$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.16 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7573…8ceabacked NRG | 49c | 3,760$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…980abacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 3,512$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked NRG | 49c | 3,126$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.57 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738b…7579backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 2,239$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.14 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NRG | 44c | 2,015$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.09 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked NRG | 10c | 1,930$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…3199backed NRG | 14c | 1,802$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 1,797$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.12 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked 100 Thieves | 64c | 1,600$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…defebacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 1,424$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.41 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed NRG | 11c | 1,339$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.29 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed NRG | 19c | 1,326$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed NRG | 32c | 1,296$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.46 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked NRG | 52c | 1,280$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.6 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 46c | 1,201$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.85 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 1,000$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.09 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 980.39$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.12 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked NRG | 17c | 946.28$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.15 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 945.4$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.66 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 908.61$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.13 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NRG | 26c | 861.98$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.24 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NRG | 33c | 814.58$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.21 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed NRG | 41c | 812.58$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.71 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed NRG | 16c | 780.13$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.13 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed NRG | 47c | 757.2$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.52 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked NRG | 49c | 736$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.64 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 730.02$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.03 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 717.99$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.63 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 669.06$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.15 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe767…9107backed NRG | 21c | 666.67$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.33 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG | 16c | 662.95$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 582.4$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.08 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked NRG | 12c | 549.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked NRG | 16c | 525$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NRG | 38c | 524.54$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.86 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked NRG | 44c | 515.97$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.43 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked NRG | 29c | 509.36$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.55 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…c848backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…74c2backed NRG | 48c | 416.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 408.36$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.01 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed NRG | 18c | 401.75$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeafe…c310backed NRG | 16c | 380.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x38f2…21febacked NRG | 45c | 377.78$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NRG | 18c | 376$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed NRG | 27c | 373.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NRG | 48c | 333.44$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.53 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked NRG | 11c | 331$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NRG | 22c | 319$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…6acabacked NRG | 50c | 302.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…7a34backed NRG | 26c | 299.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 289.54$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…59eabacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 282.76$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.41 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG | 22c | 281$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 280$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7844…24dfbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 278.25$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked NRG | 19c | 267.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed NRG | 50c | 260.76$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.38 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed NRG | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…21c5backed NRG | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 239.2$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed NRG | 21c | 235.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NRG | 17c | 233.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed NRG | 13c | 218.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 102 | 17.6%18 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed NRG | 47c | 217.22$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 216.41$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.47 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed NRG | 34c | 208.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…64b6backed NRG | 48c | 206.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 205$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed NRG | 49c | 204.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NRG | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked NRG | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed NRG | 42c | 183.16$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NRG | 21c | 180$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed NRG | 21c | 174$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked NRG | 48c | 173.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 158.25$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 150.82$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed NRG | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked NRG | 36c | 149.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…b7b3backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 145.85$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed NRG | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ae…b929backed NRG | 42c | 144.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed NRG | 34c | 135.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…f5cabacked NRG | 29c | 129.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7251…4a60backed NRG | 48c | 118.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 3 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 4 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.