Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c35a24604810fdbe289731557e7f5bd6afdb9596cf17e52fd04c107bc83da4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $294,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed NRG | 55c | 46,660$25,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,459.62 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 39,223$18,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,925.42 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 30,115$13,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,262.1 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed NRG | 54c | 18,732$10,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,028.11 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NRG | 67c | 17,977$12,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,045.4 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked 100 Thieves | 20c | 12,811$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,237.09 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 10,611$4,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,809.26 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked NRG | 55c | 10,191$5,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,597.44 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 8,650$4,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,584.48 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed 100 Thieves | 14c | 7,839$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,740.05 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…980abacked NRG | 54c | 7,374$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 5,767$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.67 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed NRG | 48c | 5,327$2,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,581.22 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked NRG | 45c | 5,160$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.56 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4d…b0edbacked NRG | 55c | 4,364$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 4,211$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.71 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NRG | 50c | 4,125$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.35 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked 100 Thieves | 34c | 4,093$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.1 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 3,151$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.68 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed NRG | 54c | 2,600$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked NRG | 36c | 2,120$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.53 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 2,031$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.43 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed 100 Thieves | 38c | 1,931$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.02 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked NRG | 53c | 1,844$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.52 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 1,778$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.85 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed NRG | 51c | 1,760$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.06 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked NRG | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 1,360$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.34 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked 100 Thieves | 44c | 1,350$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed NRG | 48c | 1,347$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.57 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked NRG | 54c | 1,318$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.5 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…b406backed 100 Thieves | 25c | 1,266$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.17 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked 100 Thieves | 25c | 1,040$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.37 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…5cb1backed NRG | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…e804backed NRG | 69c | 1,000$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 999.99$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 998.18$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.02 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 967.18$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.62 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed NRG | 51c | 956.24$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…defebacked NRG | 55c | 922.02$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.11 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…af49backed NRG | 44c | 864.74$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 100 Thieves | 30c | 863.36$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.6 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed NRG | 53c | 861.17$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.42 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…e8cabacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 835$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 813.18$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.97 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked NRG | 61c | 779.51$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.76 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 754.55$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 726.55$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.97 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed NRG | 48c | 710.38$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.94 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked NRG | 54c | 702.78$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.5 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 699.87$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.1 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed NRG | 54c | 698.78$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.34 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 631.84$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked NRG | 47c | 620$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.4 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed NRG | 29c | 619.03$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed NRG | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed NRG | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed NRG | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 100 Thieves | 36c | 596.28$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.62 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 595.66$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.81 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked 100 Thieves | 59c | 593.28$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.55 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 591.8$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.18 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked NRG | 65c | 589.14$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.97 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 584.91$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…ea85backed NRG | 50c | 560$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 542$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.29 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 533.93$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.34 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves | 36c | 514.35$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.95 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…da4fbacked NRG | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed NRG | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 499.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked NRG | 54c | 495.39$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…e285backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 457.14$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked NRG | 33c | 457$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.81 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed NRG | 54c | 454.3$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.32 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…a4c7backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 447.39$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.39 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…f5cabacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…f88bbacked 100 Thieves | 46c | 431.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed NRG | 54c | 428.58$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.63 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed NRG | 54c | 364.88$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.04 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7251…4a60backed NRG | 54c | 361.85$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 360.62$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.47 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed NRG | 69c | 360$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 39c | 356.65$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.27 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed NRG | 54c | 352.72$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.47 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…8dddbacked 100 Thieves | 12c | 350$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.85 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed 100 Thieves | 12c | 332.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.03 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f2…21febacked NRG | 53c | 320.75$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed NRG | 55c | 320$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 315$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.95 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed NRG | 15c | 300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked 100 Thieves | 36c | 300$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked NRG | 50c | 297.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ee…163ebacked 100 Thieves | 24c | 295.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 293.61$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.13 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed 100 Thieves | 58c | 293.6$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dc…eaa8backed NRG | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…74c2backed NRG | 55c | 280.37$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs NRG (+5.5)100 Thieves won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 3 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.