CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb89dd1763ce33cdaaa22ac1993d0574a2c73298aa743db96169c78b77d135d4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,366 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 20c | 1,720$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.1 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 79c | 1,477$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.8 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 75c | 665.31$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.88 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…33d3backed Over | 39c | 542.84$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.09 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 64c | 500$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.12 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 61c | 499.57$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.99 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf79…850bbacked Under | 27c | 308.48$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.29 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 35c | 298.7$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.33 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8875…a435backed Under | 64c | 282$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75df…63cabacked Under | 64c | 278$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…6e62backed Over | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…c4b7backed Over | 36c | 248$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76df…9cecbacked Under | 64c | 225$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2332…65bfbacked Under | 64c | 216$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3274…ec68backed Over | 36c | 207$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 61c | 199.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b16…0a60backed Under | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc697…dd32backed Over | 36c | 166$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Over | 31c | 163.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Under | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…589ebacked Over | 39c | 137.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c7…2148backed Over | 36c | 128$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 52c | 99.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d6…281ebacked Under | 66c | 99.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 15c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Over | 33c | 87.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.72 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 51c | 85.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 61c | 82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Under | 59c | 80.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 46c | 75.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 21c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 62c | 56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4fb0backed Under | 67c | 55.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Over | 56c | 52.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1c68backed Under | 66c | 52.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 42c | 51.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4564…c051backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 78c | 49.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 37c | 39.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked Over | 64c | 31.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Over | 56c | 30.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…59b1backed Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 35c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a34…e379backed Under | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Over | 56c | 20.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…ba10backed Over | 56c | 20.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…7593backed Over | 56c | 20.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…80d0backed Over | 56c | 20.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)B8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.