CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e11d358d0d3cc2e97f3f38264cebef20b0bfb1be19746ccd88eabc1d013d038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of Spirit, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,951 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7786…c005backed B8 | 40c | 5,039$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.78 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Spirit | 60c | 3,300$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 846 | 58.4%494 W · 352 L | +60.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Spirit | 63c | 1,746$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked B8 | 37c | 1,603$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.99 | 979 | 52.4%513 W · 466 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spirit | 60c | 1,329$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.31 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed B8 | 41c | 1,195$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.47 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Spirit | 59c | 950$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Spirit | 2c | 947$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked B8 | 39c | 699.98$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.99 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Spirit | 40c | 691.44$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.73 | 171 | 31%53 W · 118 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Spirit | 61c | 654.1$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Spirit | 60c | 450$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed B8 | 41c | 420$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.8 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed B8 | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked B8 | 53c | 347.62$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.15 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…bb56backed Spirit | 61c | 330.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Spirit | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked B8 | 41c | 268.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.29 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked Spirit | 48c | 243.75$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed B8 | 71c | 201.78$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed B8 | 42c | 185$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed B8 | 40c | 183.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.88 | 508 | 46.9%238 W · 270 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff3…ec1cbacked B8 | 40c | 159$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…c615backed B8 | 40c | 154.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f76…5a0fbacked B8 | 39c | 148.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked B8 | 38c | 137.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked B8 | 39c | 137.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed B8 | 31c | 134.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.98 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Spirit | 61c | 132$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Spirit | 58c | 127.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed B8 | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed B8 | 39c | 122.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Spirit | 62c | 121.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Spirit | 54c | 119.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked B8 | 37c | 112.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed B8 | 40c | 107.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked B8 | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed B8 | 42c | 95.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Spirit | 63c | 93.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Spirit | 55c | 92.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked B8 | 38c | 91.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Spirit | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Spirit | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…3a9fbacked Spirit | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…b7b8backed Spirit | 61c | 73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Spirit | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed B8 | 42c | 60.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed B8 | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fd…ac40backed Spirit | 61c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…ed87backed Spirit | 61c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cc…f83abacked Spirit | 58c | 40.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d6…5005backed Spirit | 58c | 40.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…48e0backed Spirit | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…0497backed Spirit | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed B8 | 40c | 34.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed B8 | 39c | 30.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Spirit | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked B8 | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…4224backed Spirit | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Spirit | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Spirit | 58c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Spirit | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Spirit | 60c | 19.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.