CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68c9b213e2ce94990cf3c9c927bdcbb92271a4c36ef61f0d35dad11ab2eb958b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,584 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked B8 | 18c | 14,794$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spirit | 74c | 14,771$10,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,859.74 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Spirit | 75c | 13,227$9,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270.69 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Spirit | 68c | 12,100$8,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,841.29 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked B8 | 24c | 11,860$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.19 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit | 76c | 9,434$7,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,286.78 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed B8 | 26c | 6,704$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.57 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Spirit | 78c | 6,081$4,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.59 | 463 | 49.9%231 W · 232 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed B8 | 22c | 5,293$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.41 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Spirit | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Spirit | 72c | 4,299$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.4 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked B8 | 33c | 3,547$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.11 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Spirit | 65c | 2,806$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.7 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked B8 | 17c | 2,421$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.77 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit | 67c | 2,359$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.25 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4564…c051backed B8 | 8c | 2,242$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed B8 | 15c | 2,058$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked B8 | 17c | 2,019$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.27 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed B8 | 25c | 2,008$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Spirit | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Spirit | 70c | 1,736$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked B8 | 37c | 1,723$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.67 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked B8 | 16c | 1,683$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.09 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Spirit | 71c | 1,545$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.05 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0008…efa9backed B8 | 8c | 1,545$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Spirit | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Spirit | 76c | 1,317$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.03 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed B8 | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Spirit | 79c | 1,059$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.8 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed Spirit | 68c | 1,034$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.45 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed B8 | 33c | 1,017$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.1 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked B8 | 29c | 861.91$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.69 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Spirit | 79c | 847.35$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.82 | 394 | 68%268 W · 126 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…7056backed B8 | 35c | 807$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.45 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed B8 | 15c | 692.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.88 | 552 | 32.4%179 W · 373 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit | 77c | 689.61$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.61 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed B8 | 36c | 660.77$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.69 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed B8 | 25c | 602$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed B8 | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.95 | 465 | 45.6%212 W · 253 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Spirit | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Spirit | 64c | 529.38$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.58 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked Spirit | 54c | 518.52$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.52 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed B8 | 33c | 488.28$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.13 | 174 | 31%54 W · 120 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed B8 | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed B8 | 17c | 458$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked B8 | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 537 | 37.1%199 W · 338 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked B8 | 19c | 431$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b5…bd15backed B8 | 12c | 401.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Spirit | 76c | 400$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed B8 | 41c | 354.65$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.49 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed B8 | 27c | 321.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Spirit | 61c | 301.25$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.39 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed B8 | 31c | 297.81$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked B8 | 29c | 291.21$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.61 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Spirit | 69c | 256.72$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…ffddbacked B8 | 15c | 245.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…c615backed B8 | 25c | 212.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Spirit | 71c | 210.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked B8 | 32c | 206$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked B8 | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 538 | 59.3%319 W · 219 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Spirit | 76c | 202.63$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd2…7a82backed Spirit | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Spirit | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…e53dbacked B8 | 15c | 190.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…151cbacked Spirit | 66c | 180.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Spirit | 77c | 162.34$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed B8 | 22c | 161.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Spirit | 67c | 156.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked B8 | 18c | 152.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked B8 | 19c | 150.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Spirit | 57c | 150.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed B8 | 19c | 138.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked B8 | 20c | 129.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Spirit | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe902…eda4backed B8 | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…ef38backed B8 | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Spirit | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d1…ee7abacked B8 | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…5033backed B8 | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…b6ecbacked B8 | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 189 | 59.8%113 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Spirit | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Spirit | 63c | 98.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Spirit | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Spirit | 77c | 92.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Spirit | 60c | 83.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 526 | 49%258 W · 268 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Spirit | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Spirit | 58c | 82.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Spirit | 63c | 80.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked B8 | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked B8 | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…95d0backed B8 | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked B8 | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed B8 | 18c | 68.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Spirit | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 605 | 58.5%354 W · 251 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed B8 | 25c | 61.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed B8 | 22c | 60.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Spirit | 75c | 51.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d822backed B8 | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Spirit | 74c | 51.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Spirit | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)B8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.