CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Players (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92691b0596ac117880da93d78131e53b7ba54f30abd11a2245d20bfef06dbd46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOLHA AMARELAof FOLHA AMARELA, Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed FOLHA AMARELA | 65c | 4,075$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.29 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Players | 34c | 3,167$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.16 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FOLHA AMARELA | 63c | 2,678$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.65 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda1e…f6a4backed Players | 42c | 2,331$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.7 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed FOLHA AMARELA | 66c | 1,206$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.5 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Players | 34c | 999.56$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.85 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…359abacked Players | 45c | 643.7$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.65 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Players | 33c | 540.23$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.71 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Players | 66c | 499.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f94…0c78backed FOLHA AMARELA | 61c | 317.48$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Players | 44c | 293.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Players | 38c | 249.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…7034backed Players | 48c | 246.66$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Players | 34c | 197.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe127…fe33backed FOLHA AMARELA | 64c | 143.11$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Players | 21c | 130.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed FOLHA AMARELA | 62c | 94.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Players | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Players | 22c | 78.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Players | 33c | 77.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30dd…cbfdbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf646…00c1backed Players | 44c | 68.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Players | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…8f77backed Players | 69c | 66.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked FOLHA AMARELA | 62c | 64.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Players | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Players | 26c | 56.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Players | 43c | 53.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FOLHA AMARELA | 64c | 49.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Players | 32c | 48.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Players | 23c | 46.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed FOLHA AMARELA | 61c | 37.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Players | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Players | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470a…1ad6backed FOLHA AMARELA | 51c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…ade8backed FOLHA AMARELA | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…e157backed Players | 40c | 26.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed FOLHA AMARELA | 61c | 24.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed FOLHA AMARELA | 66c | 23.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed FOLHA AMARELA | 68c | 20.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed FOLHA AMARELA | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…963bbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 76c | 17.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed FOLHA AMARELA | 60c | 16.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Players (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Players - Map 1 WinnerPlayers won
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Players - Map 2 WinnerFOLHA AMARELA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.