CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Players - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7667eb63265407de0f1184d5ff40cb2a0ddc7380f1cd543ff0bb0db3952b2f2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Playersof FOLHA AMARELA, Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Players | 45c | 2,417$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.39 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f94…0c78backed FOLHA AMARELA | 7c | 1,738$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.47 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed FOLHA AMARELA | 57c | 1,434$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.27 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 67c | 1,198$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…1fdbbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Players | 38c | 574.33$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.19 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed FOLHA AMARELA | 48c | 324.86$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.35 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Players | 65c | 153.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Players | 30c | 66.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed FOLHA AMARELA | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…d9cfbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…d0e3backed FOLHA AMARELA | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 53c | 39.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Players | 65c | 31.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Players | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed FOLHA AMARELA | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Players - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Players (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 PlayoffsFOLHA AMARELA won
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs Players - Map 2 WinnerFOLHA AMARELA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.