TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No0c10,627$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2415445.5%70 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c5,151$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,889.981,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c8a…80e6backed Yes43c4,749$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,720.73475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No57c3,550$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.263,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes44c1,845$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.197924.1%19 W · 60 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c1,664$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.954,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No56c1,363$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.083030%9 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No24c1,251$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.4174034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58a2…d207backed Yes40c1,212$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Yes44c1,172$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.0615540%62 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Yes43c1,123$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.123455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39a7…ffedbacked Yes63c1,122$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes73c1,070$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.9235942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No58c1,023$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.1429343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5574…47abbacked Yes44c912.13$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.791361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c901.28$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.591,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x341b…d360backed Yes46c634.36$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Yes41c499.99$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.9915052%78 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No4c476.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0512036.7%44 W · 76 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes41c451.1$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.154528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9de…2497backed Yes44c421.7$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No39c405.84$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7211632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No58c388.19$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.650850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No56c376.19$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.4855045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…e97cbacked Yes43c340.14$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.33339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd565…3f5abacked Yes44c328.8$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.131428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x708d…6c2fbacked Yes44c292.01$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No57c259.22$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.767236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No54c254.92$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.713,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No56c243.24$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3745039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked Yes42c235.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.886241.9%26 W · 36 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes43c224.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.024746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes44c219.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12322448.2%108 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8268…8534backed Yes44c219.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Yes44c219.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No58c219.4$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2586455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No57c198.7$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0345947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes52c184.65$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.635950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes67c172.77$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.222,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No11c164.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4723738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No56c151.91$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.541,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf646…00c1backed Yes45c146.69$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.021346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No56c140.79$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.311,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes51c131.49$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.413240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes79c129.71$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.563,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe004…384fbacked Yes45c128.93$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No57c125.72$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.181,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes42c124.18$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.034656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x448a…e87dbacked Yes41c123.87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.08450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No56c119.22$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0610863.9%69 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38b8…5d35backed Yes41c117.19$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.142937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa6e…6d63backed Yes42c114.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes48c114.17$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.51944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No58c111.82$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4616758.7%98 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14d1…6e8ebacked Yes44c110.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116a…ed51backed Yes44c109.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.52347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2702…a103backed Yes43c104.55$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x700a…68e1backed Yes45c103.61$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.31330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Yes44c101$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.567532%24 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes44c100.31$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.171637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6539…f6cdbacked Yes43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34bf…cf0bbacked Yes41c99.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+101.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6cb4…db25backed Yes40c99.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62d2…3d16backed Yes44c98.94$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes73c96.68$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0528754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes42c96.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.986743.3%29 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked No22c95.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9740%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91df…5a15backed Yes77c93.5$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked No56c90.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Yes42c89.63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.986937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8644…02d2backed Yes39c89.19$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.41837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Yes42c88.82$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.111747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+45.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Yes44c87.85$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.22975.9%22 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+36.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa49f…b0f0backed Yes44c81.27$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.51580%4 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick30cpaid+188.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked No60c81.07$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6410958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes44c77.31$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2950450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a74…a307backed Yes42c76.23$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.191450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No57c76.01$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.32911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.36per pick47cpaid-79.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No55c75.05$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5190840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x270d…a696backed No59c72.35$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.692853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes56c71.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5787651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Yes40c70$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Yes71c69.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.233565.7%23 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc115…a4d4backed Yes42c68.94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.991172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ef…2006backed Yes41c65.88$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x406d…c36fbacked No22c65.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2666…76e5backed Yes45c64.43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.484100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No22c61.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2616116.8%27 W · 134 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbd94…e8c1backed Yes44c60.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.872100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked No56c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.35364.2%34 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032b…603dbacked Yes41c56.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.34337.2%16 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Yes43c56.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0810236.3%37 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5f…517cbacked Yes44c54.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.75633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed No57c54.68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.396350.8%32 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No26c52.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.812,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No29c51.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1527745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed No56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289843.9%43 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2848147.8%230 W · 251 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302050%10 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+56.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.