Fifa International · resolved market
Will Albania win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ffaf1dafae71dc95c2dfdf8ebae5b1b9088b14fb184c50b86180b2b334ef386
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 72c | 847.77$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.3 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 491.28$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 4c | 376.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 22c | 345.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 281.11$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 30c | 277.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.53 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 4c | 266.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 29c | 254.18$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 30c | 175.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 153.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…6bf8backed No | 70c | 125.92$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 29c | 101.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 90.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 87.16$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed Yes | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116a…ed51backed No | 73c | 67.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 29c | 66.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 73c | 55.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…f3f3backed Yes | 28c | 54.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…b5f2backed Yes | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 72c | 47.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29fa…0eeebacked Yes | 27c | 45.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb530…26c3backed Yes | 31c | 43.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 39.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Yes | 30c | 35.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 32.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…4864backed No | 72c | 28.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc9…4067backed No | 72c | 26.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…61d1backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 15.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albania win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Ukraine vs. Albania end in a draw?No won
- Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.