TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa9ef…2006

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2382.6%19 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.19
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.26
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.89
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$18.67
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.38
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.92
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.46
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.97
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$14.97
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$14.73
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.63
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.61
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.92
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+50%+$11.26
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$16.7
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.92
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.01
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.74
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.91
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.91
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$7.74
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.19
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.81
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.26
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.14
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.47
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$18.98
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.43
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.88
All 15 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-41.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Rochester Americansbacked Toronto Marlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
DEL: Adler Mannheim vs. Eisbaeren Berlinbacked Adler Mannheim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$19.69
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
All 5 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$13.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+66.7%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Abidjan: Florent Bax vs Calvin Hemerybacked Calvin Hemery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.