Euroleague · resolved market
Barcelona vs. Gran Canaria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbbf10176f8f4033352da34c4ae0002f43bdd1efce2c622d954e2bfe4a147c14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof Barcelona, Gran Canaria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Gran Canaria | 6c | 933.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gran Canaria | 9c | 519.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gran Canaria | 18c | 501.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.23 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Gran Canaria | 19c | 445.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.94 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gran Canaria | 8c | 436.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Gran Canaria | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Gran Canaria | 20c | 234.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Gran Canaria | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Barcelona | 45c | 218.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Gran Canaria | 8c | 217$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Gran Canaria | 8c | 217$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Gran Canaria | 18c | 166.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb398…3a9fbacked Barcelona | 80c | 131.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Gran Canaria | 20c | 100.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe3…c693backed Barcelona | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Barcelona | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Barcelona | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Barcelona | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f9…eac7backed Barcelona | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…2006backed Barcelona | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.