MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x613aed4aef69e2eb02a9e7a703e7dde5b809592ad66fee362dc9bf14273b4a0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Kansas City Royals, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $368,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $402,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees | 63c | 45,803$28,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,865.71 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 39,993$15,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,496.87 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked New York Yankees | 73c | 23,119$16,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,202.27 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 20,448$7,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,974.69 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed New York Yankees | 61c | 18,000$10,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,020 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 15,209$9,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,779.29 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Yankees | 61c | 15,171$9,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,916.76 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 15,135$6,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,053.99 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals | 13c | 14,214$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.81 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Kansas City Royals | 1c | 10,611$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 60c | 9,415$5,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,766.06 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 8,847$3,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.86 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 8,271$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,263.13 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kansas City Royals | 8c | 8,050$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.01 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 6,183$3,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,425.45 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 5,980$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.97 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 5,720$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.18 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Kansas City Royals | 41c | 5,300$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.84 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Kansas City Royals | 0c | 5,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed New York Yankees | 61c | 5,135$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.65 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…972fbacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 4,454$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.1 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed New York Yankees | 60c | 3,083$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.27 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 2,965$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.67 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 73c | 2,812$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.55 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed New York Yankees | 64c | 2,222$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 2,041$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.42 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed New York Yankees | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 6c | 1,996$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.57 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 1,943$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.08 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 27c | 1,743$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 1,591$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.92 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed New York Yankees | 61c | 1,459$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.45 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Kansas City Royals | 7c | 1,377$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 1,262$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 1,245$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.73 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Yankees | 59c | 1,154$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.32 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 1,113$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.01 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 1,100$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 1,084$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.15 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 1,082$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 1,032$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.86 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed New York Yankees | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc309…513dbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 999.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 903.05$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.22 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked New York Yankees | 60c | 894.67$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.87 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked New York Yankees | 68c | 861.34$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.11 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed New York Yankees | 60c | 721.69$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.67 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed New York Yankees | 58c | 721.06$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.85 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed New York Yankees | 59c | 699.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Kansas City Royals | 16c | 688.74$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.75 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked New York Yankees | 60c | 679.3$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.72 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 664.42$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.19 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcd…77e8backed Kansas City Royals | 2c | 656.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed New York Yankees | 61c | 656$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.84 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals | 2c | 638.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 602.46$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.86 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 600.02$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.34 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 590$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 585.6$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.24 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 585.6$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.24 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked New York Yankees | 60c | 555.34$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.14 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 528.68$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.66 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 522.69$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.92 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed New York Yankees | 64c | 489.2$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.11 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed New York Yankees | 60c | 488$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 481.9$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.15 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba37…dedcbacked Kansas City Royals | 3c | 470.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed New York Yankees | 60c | 464.58$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.83 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked New York Yankees | 60c | 455.47$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.19 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Kansas City Royals | 6c | 416.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed New York Yankees | 60c | 400.16$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.06 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 390.08$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.33 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed New York Yankees | 60c | 363.71$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.54 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed New York Yankees | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…85e5backed New York Yankees | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed New York Yankees | 59c | 318$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.38 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed New York Yankees | 59c | 317.05$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.33 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Kansas City Royals | 6c | 314.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 310.37$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed New York Yankees | 60c | 310.37$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 203 | 51.7%105 W · 98 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked New York Yankees | 60c | 310.37$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed New York Yankees | 60c | 306.33$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 294.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…101fbacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 287.76$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 332 | 41.3%137 W · 195 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 276.53$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 274.93$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.72 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 266.54$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 260$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 249.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 248.88$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.55 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed New York Yankees | 60c | 248.88$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.55 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…6b56backed New York Yankees | 60c | 248.88$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.55 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 246$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed New York Yankees | 60c | 242.72$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.29 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 240$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-7.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.